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2008 Republican Presidential Primary -Giuliani 33% McCain 19% Thompson 13% (New Rasmussen)
Rasmussen ^ | 4/17/07

Posted on 04/17/2007 7:01:30 AM PDT by areafiftyone

Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Arizona Senator John McCain both gained support this week in the race for the GOP nomination. Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney held steady and remain the only other Republicans earning double digit support.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of the Republican Presidential Primary competition finds Giuliani at 33%, fourteen points ahead of McCain’s 19%. Thompson is still in third at 13% slightly ahead of Romney at 11%. For Giuliani, that’s his highest level of support in three weeks. It’s McCain’s best showing since early March. Last week, it was Giuliani 27% McCain 16% Thompson 14% and Romney 12%.

Rasmussen Reports releases updated polling data on the Republican nominating contest every Tuesday. Results for the Democrats are updated on Mondays. The current survey is based upon national telephone interviews with 824 Likely Republican Primary Voters conducted April 9-12, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich was consistently in third place before Thompson’s name was thrown into the ring. He is now in fifth place as and is the top choice for just 8% of those likely to vote in a Republican Primary. (More Below)

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A separate survey found that 29% of all voters say they would definitely vote for Giuliani if he is on the ballot in November 2008. Thirty-four percent (34%) would definitely vote against him. Those numbers are a bit weaker for Giuliani than they were a month ago, but they are still the best of any Republican Presidential hopeful. For McCain, the numbers are 23% definitely for and 35% definitely against. Those figures have changed little over the past month.

Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D) draws the best overall numbers of any candidate at this time—33% definitely for and 33% definitely against.

Rasmussen Reports continuously updates favorability ratings and general election match-ups for all Democratic and Republican candidates. Also available are continuously updated ratings for Members of Congress, Other Political Figures, and Journalists.



TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: fred; fredthompson; giuliani; rudy2008; runfredrun; thompson
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To: twonie
I’ve read about many Conservative “leaders” in the press, in Christian leadership, and commentators saying they will vote for Hillary, if Rudy is the nominee.

The same scenario as they counseled in 06. It’s obvious that could care less about us, our soldiers, or the WOT.

It seems its every man for himself now, so be it.

21 posted on 04/17/2007 7:36:03 AM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: ibheath
Fred Thompson is electable AND conservative, a winning combination

Unfortunately that's something the Rudy boosters don't want. They want a New York sue-me liberal. Why? They think he's tough on terror but yet he hasn't done anything about terror other than shoot off his mouth. Giuliani is all dress and carries an empty purse.

22 posted on 04/17/2007 7:48:14 AM PDT by politicalwit (Family values don't stop at the border...but Federal laws do.)
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To: roses of sharon
It’s obvious that could care less about us, our soldiers, or the WOT.

STUPID STATEMENT OF THE DAY.

23 posted on 04/17/2007 7:50:47 AM PDT by politicalwit (Family values don't stop at the border...but Federal laws do.)
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To: ibheath

“Count me in for Fred. 13% and he is not even running yet. Once he declares and begins campaigning, watch his numbers soar.”

What difference would “announcing” make? He’s still listed in the poll—and his numbers remain weak—as are Gingrich’s.


24 posted on 04/17/2007 7:56:12 AM PDT by writeblock
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To: areafiftyone
Thompson slowly but surely gaining ground in each poll. What happens when he announces?

Rudy could have had a great chance to gain some support by insisting that the Va. Tech shootings were enabled by gun control, but again missed an opportunity.

Remember, it's all about being perceived as a "fighter" and the issue right now is gun-grabbing.

25 posted on 04/17/2007 7:57:44 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of News)
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To: roses of sharon

“I’ve read about many Conservative ‘leaders’ in the press, in Christian leadership, and commentators saying they will vote for Hillary, if Rudy is the nominee.”

If you give the victory to your enemies, how does this support your principles? On the other hand, supporting Rudy would translate into such support. Right now Rudy is ahead in many blue and purple states. Together with the mountain states and the South, he’d win in a landslide. That would return the Congress to the GOP, with Boehner and McConnell at the helm instead of Pelosi or Reid. For any so-called “conservative” too dense to realize it, a winner at the head of the ticket, whether he leans to the left or the right, would mean a BIG WIN for conservative values in the long run. Only the politically naive don’t understand this or resent it. Politics is a game of the possible. No matter how much conservatives may prefer a Hunter or a Thompson or a Gingrich, the name of the game is victory at the polls—or else you lose everything, the legislature, Supreme Court nominees, the Dept. of Justice, the war on terror—you name it. The stakes are too high to risk supporting losers.


26 posted on 04/17/2007 8:04:10 AM PDT by writeblock
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To: PhilCollins; areafiftyone

...”During the Republican National Convention, a candidate must win the votes of the majority of delegates to receive the nomination. The majority won’t vote for a candidate who is pro-choice, pro-gay marriage, and pro-gun control.”

I agree. There will 2488 delegates to the 2008 convention. Some States are winner-take-all; others are proportional to population or Congressional District. IMHO, withdrawing candidates will release their delegates to the most conservative likely to win. Hint: That’s not Rudy or McCain.


27 posted on 04/17/2007 8:07:28 AM PDT by circumbendibus
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To: politicalwit; roses of sharon
It’s obvious that could care less about us, our soldiers, or the WOT.

Actually it's the last refuge "It's unpatriotic not to support America's Mayor "

28 posted on 04/17/2007 8:08:08 AM PDT by Oztrich Boy (Nobody gets me)
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To: LS
Rudy could have had a great chance to gain some support by insisting that the Va. Tech shootings were enabled by gun control, but again missed an opportunity.

Its not the proper time for anything like that. Even the NRA is not going to comment on that.

29 posted on 04/17/2007 8:09:40 AM PDT by areafiftyone
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To: writeblock
For any so-called “conservative” too dense to realize it,

Perhaps you're the "dense" one. You can't advance conservativism with a liberal at the helm whether it be Hillary or Rudy.

30 posted on 04/17/2007 8:12:36 AM PDT by politicalwit (Family values don't stop at the border...but Federal laws do.)
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To: areafiftyone

Go, Fred! Go!


31 posted on 04/17/2007 8:16:56 AM PDT by manic4organic (Send a care package through USO today.)
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To: politicalwit; writeblock
-—”Perhaps you’re the “dense” one. You can’t advance conservatism with a liberal at the helm whether it be Hillary or Rudy.”-—

Oh come on, politicalwit. You’re going to rule-out Hillary just because you dont’ agree with her 100% of the time. It’s purists like you that’ll never be satisfied.

Of course she’ll advance Conservatism. She says she opposes activist judges, and she supported Welfare reform when Rudy was suing to stop it. She also supported a ban on Partial Birth Abortions, even without the exceptions Rudy demands. Plus, she never sued gun manufacturers, insurance companies, or tobacco companies.

If you’re going to be a purist, Rudy Giuliani will wind-up winning the election. Then we’re all screwed.

32 posted on 04/17/2007 8:18:07 AM PDT by TitansAFC ("My 80% enemy is not my 20% friend" -- Common Sense)
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To: Oztrich Boy

LOL, I would never participate in electing the un-American Hillary or Obama to the Presidency, that is a fact.


33 posted on 04/17/2007 8:39:10 AM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: politicalwit

Yes, voting for Hillary is stupid, I agree.


34 posted on 04/17/2007 8:41:17 AM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: areafiftyone

McCain stupidly did comment on gun rights already. It will hurt him.


35 posted on 04/17/2007 8:43:51 AM PDT by finnman69 (cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestus globus, inflammare animos)
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To: writeblock

Yes, I’m looking forward to the debates, and voting for whomever is furthest right politically.

And will do the same in the general.

It’s very simple really, as long as one keeps their emotions out of it, drama tends to rule the right these days. (not as bad as the left, yet!)


36 posted on 04/17/2007 8:45:54 AM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: roses of sharon
I’ve read about many Conservative “leaders” in the press, in Christian leadership, and commentators saying they will vote for Hillary, if Rudy is the nominee.

Who, exactly, are some of these "many" you are referring to?

37 posted on 04/17/2007 8:51:45 AM PDT by iowamark (What if the Right said Fred?)
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To: TitansAFC

“Of course she’ll advance Conservatism. She says she opposes activist judges, and she supported Welfare reform when Rudy was suing to stop it.”

Would Hillary also usher-in a Republican Congress and get rid of Pelosi and Reid? If not, Rudy alone makes sense. Conservatives like myself want somebody who can win elections and pursue the war on terror, not losers who turn off the general electorate. I personally am sick and tired of so-called “conservatives” who have no loyalty to the party and threaten to stay home at the drop of a hat—or do worse and vote for Hillary. The Republican Party delivered two fine Supreme Ct. judgeships for the religious right—and still it shows scant loyalty. To hell with that kind of attitude.


38 posted on 04/17/2007 8:56:03 AM PDT by writeblock
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To: areafiftyone

Well, you know that’s not the reason. This issue hurts Rudy bad.


39 posted on 04/17/2007 9:01:14 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of News)
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To: roses of sharon
I’ve read about many Conservative “leaders” in the press, in Christian leadership, and commentators saying they will vote for Hillary, if Rudy is the nominee.

Incorrect. Actually, the only individual "in Christian leadership" who supposedly said such a thing is Richard Land, and today the Washington Times has issued a correction - the paper says their report was in error, and Land did not say it.

So apart from about a dozen posters on FR that I've seen with my own eyes who say they'll vote for Hillary as opposed to Rudy, this is a very tiny contingent of idiots.

40 posted on 04/17/2007 9:02:08 AM PDT by M. Thatcher
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