Posted on 04/05/2007 8:14:01 AM PDT by Unmarked Package
Latest New Hampshire telephone poll shows Romney's support nearly doubles to 25% to tie McCain; Giuliani trails at 19%
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has rocketed to the top of the field of contenders for the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary crown, running dead even with Arizona Sen. John McCain at 25% each, a new Zogby International telephone poll shows. With Romney’s ascension, the GOP presidential race looks just like the Democratic contest – a three–way battle!
While McCain has held mostly steady at the top of the Republican field in New Hampshire, losing just one point since January, Romney has made the big move up from 13% two months ago. Rudy Giuliani, the former mayor of New York who is the toast of Republican primary voters nationally, finds himself in third place in the Granite State at 19% support, falling slightly from 20% in January to 19% this week.
Fred Thompson, the actor and former senator from Tennessee won 6% support in this latest survey of 502 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters, which was conducted April 2-3, 2007, and contains a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points.
Pollster John Zogby: “Score this as a big week for Mitt Romney. These poll numbers, together with the small increase in Iowa and a huge fund–raising effort, puts him into the top tier and makes him a major player in the race for the GOP nomination. John McCain’s support stays steady and makes him a contender and gives him a boost in an otherwise lackluster week. Move over, Rudy. You’ve got a real race on your hands!”
Romney has a slight edge over McCain among men – 27% support Romney while 25% favor McCain. Giuliani gets 19% support among men. McCain wins support from 25% of women, followed by Romney (23%) and Giuliani (18%).
McCain is the favored candidate among younger respondents – nearly half (48%) of those 18-29 said they would vote for the former war hero–turned senator. There is also strong support for Romney among this age group, as 37% said they would support the former Massachusetts governor. Giuliani gets the most support from those age 30 to 49 at (28%) and leads the field over all other candidates among this age group.
Asked about the strength of support for their candidate, McCain shows a slight edge over the other top candidates – 88% of McCain supporters said their backing was strong, compared to 86% of Romney supporters and 85% of those supporting Giuliani.
|
Republicans in New Hampshire – 2007 |
Apr. 3 |
Jan. 18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Romney |
25% |
13% |
|
McCain |
25% |
26% |
|
Giuliani |
19% |
20% |
|
Hagel |
1% |
3% |
|
Huckabee |
1% |
1% |
|
Hunter |
1% |
1% |
|
Paul |
2% |
1% |
|
Brownback |
<1% |
<1% |
|
Tancredo |
1% |
3% |
|
Fred Thompson |
6% |
-- |
|
Tommy Thompson |
<1% |
-- |
|
Not sure |
17% |
15% |
More than half of respondents (54%) said they were more likely to vote for a candidate who is generally more conservative, while 37% said they would favor a more moderate candidate. Romney is the top choice of those who identify themselves as “conservative” and “very conservative”.
The vast majority respondents (85%) said they would be more likely to vote for a candidate who stands up for what they believe in, regardless if they can win the general election. Younger respondents (age 18 to 29) were more likely than older respondents to favor a candidate who will stand by his or her beliefs – 96% in this age group feel this way, compared to 79% of those age 65 and older. Women (89%) are also more likely than men (82%) to say they would vote for the candidate who puts their beliefs first. Overall, 11% said they would rather have a candidate who can win.
“The races were close yes, but there sere so many conservatives who thought there was not enough difference between Bush’s policies on Immigration and that of the dems that they stayed home.
We all learned the hard way. At least I hope the lesson was learned.”
No one owns my vote. They have to earn it. I don’t owe it to anyone. I disagree with your whole premise!!!
I did vote straight R, but I held my nose. If Rudy is the nominee, I will vote in all the races except his. Neither McCain or Romney are acceptable to me either.
The GOP should learn the lesson. Not the voters.
lol
I was wondering how Rudy was going to handle being the pro-choice head of a pro-life party? I figured he'd promise a sort of status quo along with a promise for good judges. I figured wrong.
You and others like you did and will stay home if you don’t get the “pure” conservative, but to what end? To what dangerous road would you have the replacement party lead our contry down? There are battles to be fought yes, but there is a bigger war to be won. Such narrow focus is dangerous to our very existance and way of life.
I think you are right. Rudy is who he is.
Outliar.
At the bottom of the linked article at Zogby.com is this
For a detailed methodological statement on this survey, please visit: http://www.zogby.com/methodology/readmeth.dbm?ID=1181
Excerpt from link:"This is a telephone survey of [Republican Primary Voters] conducted by Zogby International. The target sample is [502] interviews with approximately [26] questions asked."
Laura Ingraham was not thrilled with Rudy’s CNN interview, to put it mildly. And he gaffed with Baba Walter about putting his wife in cabinet meetings.
What’s the point in supporting an imperfect non-conservative for the GOP nomination?
Romney will be the compromise candidate.
Thank God we have a conservative host blasting this RINO for his liberal views. I bet Sean Hannity won't say a thing about.
” Though I personally like him and think he would be fine on the WOT Guiliani is a liberal.
McCain has lost the respect of all conservatives.
Of the “Big Three” running right now Romney is the choice by default.”
Correct.
And you are also correct to discount the non-entrants until such time they do enter. Gingrich and Thompson need to throw their hat in the ring and tell us what they are made of before we consider them ‘the answer’.
Can’t we find someone who isn’t a limp-wristed RINO or a total nutjob?
There’s at least 60 million of us who bothered to vote in 2004, it can’t be that difficult.
Laura Ingraham is not someone I depend on to pick my president. Rush Limbaugh said Yesterday that Rudy was honest! That’s even better than Laura.
“True conservatives will stick with Duncan Hines or commit suicide.
I hope not.”
We have SoCons, we have BushBots, we have cut-n-run conservatives and now ... we have the Masada coservatives.
The conservative meltdown continues.
“I was wondering how Rudy was going to handle being the pro-choice head of a pro-life party? I figured he’d promise a sort of status quo along with a promise for good judges. I figured wrong.”
Either he doesnt want to be President or he really thinks the pro-lifers will just go away.
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