Posted on 04/05/2007 8:14:01 AM PDT by Unmarked Package
Latest New Hampshire telephone poll shows Romney's support nearly doubles to 25% to tie McCain; Giuliani trails at 19%
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has rocketed to the top of the field of contenders for the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary crown, running dead even with Arizona Sen. John McCain at 25% each, a new Zogby International telephone poll shows. With Romney’s ascension, the GOP presidential race looks just like the Democratic contest – a three–way battle!
While McCain has held mostly steady at the top of the Republican field in New Hampshire, losing just one point since January, Romney has made the big move up from 13% two months ago. Rudy Giuliani, the former mayor of New York who is the toast of Republican primary voters nationally, finds himself in third place in the Granite State at 19% support, falling slightly from 20% in January to 19% this week.
Fred Thompson, the actor and former senator from Tennessee won 6% support in this latest survey of 502 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters, which was conducted April 2-3, 2007, and contains a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points.
Pollster John Zogby: “Score this as a big week for Mitt Romney. These poll numbers, together with the small increase in Iowa and a huge fund–raising effort, puts him into the top tier and makes him a major player in the race for the GOP nomination. John McCain’s support stays steady and makes him a contender and gives him a boost in an otherwise lackluster week. Move over, Rudy. You’ve got a real race on your hands!”
Romney has a slight edge over McCain among men – 27% support Romney while 25% favor McCain. Giuliani gets 19% support among men. McCain wins support from 25% of women, followed by Romney (23%) and Giuliani (18%).
McCain is the favored candidate among younger respondents – nearly half (48%) of those 18-29 said they would vote for the former war hero–turned senator. There is also strong support for Romney among this age group, as 37% said they would support the former Massachusetts governor. Giuliani gets the most support from those age 30 to 49 at (28%) and leads the field over all other candidates among this age group.
Asked about the strength of support for their candidate, McCain shows a slight edge over the other top candidates – 88% of McCain supporters said their backing was strong, compared to 86% of Romney supporters and 85% of those supporting Giuliani.
|
Republicans in New Hampshire – 2007 |
Apr. 3 |
Jan. 18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Romney |
25% |
13% |
|
McCain |
25% |
26% |
|
Giuliani |
19% |
20% |
|
Hagel |
1% |
3% |
|
Huckabee |
1% |
1% |
|
Hunter |
1% |
1% |
|
Paul |
2% |
1% |
|
Brownback |
<1% |
<1% |
|
Tancredo |
1% |
3% |
|
Fred Thompson |
6% |
-- |
|
Tommy Thompson |
<1% |
-- |
|
Not sure |
17% |
15% |
More than half of respondents (54%) said they were more likely to vote for a candidate who is generally more conservative, while 37% said they would favor a more moderate candidate. Romney is the top choice of those who identify themselves as “conservative” and “very conservative”.
The vast majority respondents (85%) said they would be more likely to vote for a candidate who stands up for what they believe in, regardless if they can win the general election. Younger respondents (age 18 to 29) were more likely than older respondents to favor a candidate who will stand by his or her beliefs – 96% in this age group feel this way, compared to 79% of those age 65 and older. Women (89%) are also more likely than men (82%) to say they would vote for the candidate who puts their beliefs first. Overall, 11% said they would rather have a candidate who can win.
No problem, your thread is not a duplicate strictly speaking because the source is different (NewsMax). Thanks for being vigilant with breaking news and posting it at Free Republic!
“Fred Thompson at 6 percent? Don’t they know that he is the salvation of the social conservatives? “
Tell me how many dollars rudy has spent to get to 19%, and how many fred thompson had to spend to get to 6% - without even being a declared candidate.
Rudy in third in NH.
Go Mitt.
Rudy came out supporting PUBLIC funding of abortions. I suspect this has cost him dearly with the conservative base.
Keep up the great Mitt research and grassroots efforts to get him elected. Honestly, I think he’s the only one who can get elected who can save our beleaguered nation.
....and Fred doesn’t seem to need the money that the others will need. Everyone already knows him and loves him.
...and he’ll singlehandedly return the Congress to the GOP too.
What REALLY matters this far out is the money race. How’s THAT going Rudy?
I hope not.
“Just like they did in the last election?!?!! Your “true conservatives” just sent Pelosi to Syria and is taking the funding from our troops. Keep up the good work!”
I blame it on the GOP for supporting Liberal Republicans over Conservatives.
by staying home.
“by staying home.”
That’s not what really happened.
A lot of races were very close. The Dems were better mobilized and turned out more.
In most, not all, cases the GOPers who lost were liberals. In the rest, it was because the Dems lied and ran to the right.
Using that lesson to support more liberal Republicans is courting failure.
New Hampshire has notoriously been a bellweather of absolutely nothing but this is interesting nonetheless.
We all learned the hard way. At least I hope the lesson was learned.
“Romney’s a Mormon and a flip flopping baby killer. True conservatives will stick with Duncan Hines or commit suicide.”
BWAAAAAHAHAHAHA!
LLS
The combined strong conservative vote is about 13%. The undecided is 17%.
13% of the conservative base not interested in the 3 front runners is the end of the election.
17% undecided is a bit indecipherable. Are these ID’d Republican voters?
Because I’m sure that’s what everyone is most concerned about.
**Telephone Polling is inherently flawed**
And you base this conclusion on what?
“Running neck and neck with McQueeg isn’t much of an accomplishment.”
Especially in the State next door.
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