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Victor Davis Hanson: Don't Blame Rumsfeld!
NRO ^ | November 09, 2006 | Victor Davis Hanson

Posted on 11/09/2006 5:52:10 PM PST by neverdem

I don't see how removing the Secretary of Defense helps either the country or the Republicans, especially given the pre-election vote of confidence in his full tenure. He was on the right track reforming the military; the removal of the Taliban and the three-week victory over Saddam were inspired.

So we are down to his supposed responsibility for the later effort to stop the 3-year plus insurgency, whose denouement is not yet known. Rumsfeld's supposed error that drew such ire was troop levels, i.e., that he did not wish to repeat a huge presence in the manner of Vietnam, but sought to skip the 1964-1971 era morass, and go directly to the 1972-5 Vietnamization strategy of training troops, providing aid, and using air power.

I think he was right, and that most troops in Iraq today would agree. I was just talking to a Marine Lt. back from Haditha and Hit; his chief worry was not too few Americans, but rather Iraqi Security Forces insidiously expecting Americans to do their own security patrolling. Since sending in tens of thousands to do a Grozny-like smash-up is both politically impossible and antithetical to American policy, I don't see the advantage of more troops at all, especially when we will soon near 400,000 Iraqis in arms, which, together with coalition forces of ca. 150,000, would in theory provide 555,000—or more than the "peacetime" army of Saddam's. As a rule in history, it is not just the size, but the nature, rules of engagement, and mission, of armies that matter.

For the future, neither precipitous withdrawal nor a big build-up are the right solutions, the former will leave chaos, the latter will only ensure perpetual Iraqi dependency. As it is, there are too many support troops over in Iraq in compounds, who are not out with Iraqis themselves; more troops will only ensure an even bigger footprint and more USA-like enclaves. Abezaid, Casey, Petraeus, McMaster, etc. understand counter-insurgency and the need for a long-term commitment that marries political autonomy for the Iraqis with American aid, commandos, and air support. Rumsfeld supported them all.

A final note.Whatever Rumsfeld's past in the 1970s and 1980s, he wholeheartedly supported the present effort to offer the MIddle East something other than realpolitik. I don't see how the Reagan-Bush era 1980s and early 1990s policies in the Middle East—selling arms to Iran, putting troops in Lebanon and running when they were hit, cynically playing off Iran against Iraq, selling weapons to any thug in the Middle East, giving a blank check to the House of Saud, letting the Shiites and Kurds be massacred in February-March 1991—were anything other than precursors to the events of 9/11—when, of course, enhanced by the shameless Clintonian appeasement of the middle and late 1990s.

The return of the realists-Baker, Gates, and the former advisors to GB I-should prove an interesting mix with the Dean-Pelosi Democrats. The latter used to call for idealism in foreign policy, then got it with GWB's democratization, then turned on him, and now will get the realism that they currently profess to favor. Don't hold your breath.

Posted at 9:14 AM


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: rumsfeld; vdh; victordavishanson
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To: Mind-numbed Robot

Because we could. We should have let the Nazis fight it out with the Communists, but you're right, FDR wanted Pearl Harbor and our government policy was run by red sympathizers.


41 posted on 11/09/2006 8:15:22 PM PST by The Westerner
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To: neverdem
I don't see how the Reagan-Bush era 1980s and early 1990s policies in the Middle East—selling arms to Iran, putting troops in Lebanon and running when they were hit, cynically playing off Iran against Iraq, selling weapons to any thug in the Middle East, giving a blank check to the House of Saud, letting the Shiites and Kurds be massacred in February-March 1991—were anything other than precursors to the events of 9/11

Which is why there is little reason to take you seriously. Go back to growing grapes and teaching college.

42 posted on 11/09/2006 8:51:26 PM PST by Pelham (1 Billion Guest Workers doing Jobs Americans Won't Do.)
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To: Mind-numbed Robot
Thomas Fleming's The New Dealers War, the war within WWII.

That is a tremendous book. One of the best I've read in recent years.

That era's Blue Dog conservatives in the Democratic Party did a heroic job in thwarting FDR's worst impulses. Otherwise we would have had President Henry Wallace upon Roosevelt's death.

43 posted on 11/09/2006 8:56:48 PM PST by Pelham (1 Billion Guest Workers doing Jobs Americans Won't Do.)
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To: 91B; Mr Rogers

Rumsfeld had been talking of reducing the Army to just four divisions prior to 9-11. One of the many reasons he got a no confidence vote from the uniformed military.


44 posted on 11/09/2006 9:00:32 PM PST by Pelham (1 Billion Guest Workers doing Jobs Americans Won't Do.)
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To: neverdem; Lando Lincoln; quidnunc; .cnI redruM; yonif; SJackson; dennisw; monkeyshine; Alouette; ...


    Victor Davis Hanson Ping ! 

       Let me know if you want in or out.

Links:    FR Index of his articles:  http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=victordavishanson 
            His website: http://victorhanson.com/    
                NRO archive: http://www.nationalreview.com/hanson/hanson-archive.asp

New Link!   
http://victordavishanson.pajamasmedia.com/

45 posted on 11/09/2006 9:03:44 PM PST by Tolik
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To: Pelham
"One of the many reasons he got a no confidence vote from the uniformed military."

Not sure which service you are serving in, but all the uniformed military I serve with and have served with had full confidence in Rumsfeld. I know the Army wasn't a big fan of his, but that is mostly because the Army's Pentagon leadership are the last folks serving to realize it is no longer 1918.

46 posted on 11/09/2006 9:05:09 PM PST by Rokke
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To: DaveyB
Your ignorance of reality is appalling. He wanted to leave. Bush did not want him to go. However after Tues vote of No Confidence from the American people some one had to the the sacrificial goat. Rummy even said they merely timed it for AFTER the election so it was not perceived as playing politics with the appointment. So win win. Bush needs a goat, Rummy wants to leave. Dems lose one Bushy they wanted to conduct a Congressional Show trial on.

As for the Congresscritters Bush spent all October running around endlessly for them. Raised $193 MILLION for Republicans the last two year. The most successful political fund raiser in history.

You know the real irony of all this is? The Dems do not have to do anything but wait. Keep the Junk Media occupied with show trials of Bush people in Congressional hearings plus a couple of bruising political fights over big glittery handout social spending emotionally appealing items like "Federal Funding for Stem cells" or "Global Warming" and let the Bush plan finish it's course in Iraq.

Oh they probably will make some cosmetic changes along the way. Their new calls to "hold an International Conference on Iraq" is a perfect example of a do nothing worth while at all time wasting maneuver. Then late 2007-2008 scream victory was caused by them as soon as any troops start coming home.

Bush and Rummy won the War for them. Now Old Boy Washington will have two years to revenge itself on him for his being right in 2003 and most of them being dead wrong. The joker in the deck here is if the Democrats can sit on their moonbats long enough to NOT screw it up and snatch defeat from the jaws of victory


The "Realists" should try reading the data on Iraq instead of clinging to their "Realists" Bush hater ideology dogmas. It is rather interesting.

http://icasualties.org/oif/

http://icasualties.org/oif/IraqiDeaths.aspx

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraqi_Security_Forces
47 posted on 11/09/2006 9:12:43 PM PST by MNJohnnie (The Democrat Party: Hard on Taxpayers, Soft on Terrorism!)
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To: Mr Rogers

What you said.


48 posted on 11/09/2006 9:13:58 PM PST by GoLightly
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To: Pelham; 91B; Mr Rogers

Rumsfeld had been talking of reducing the Army to just four divisions prior to 9-11. One of the many reasons he got a no confidence vote from the uniformed military.


Source for this claim? I say it nonsense. Prove me wrong.


49 posted on 11/09/2006 9:14:23 PM PST by MNJohnnie (The Democrat Party: Hard on Taxpayers, Soft on Terrorism!)
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To: Pelham
Which is why there is little reason to take you seriously

Which is every reason to take him seriously. Every statement is a fact. Funny how they all scream about "Rummy's mistakes" but arrogantly ever refuse to own up to their own. Rather then cling to their ideological dictated "Realist" dogma they try learning something instead of arrogantly clinging to their 09-10-01 dogmas

50 posted on 11/09/2006 9:17:52 PM PST by MNJohnnie (The Democrat Party: Hard on Taxpayers, Soft on Terrorism!)
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To: buffyt

Wrong Jack! That's Jack Bauer, not Jack Ryan. (I've never seen a single ep of 24, but Laura Ingraham talks about it all the time.)


51 posted on 11/09/2006 9:19:34 PM PST by lesser_satan (EKTHELTHIOR!!!)
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To: MNJohnnie
Source for this claim? I say it nonsense. Prove me wrong.

Oh, not the 'nonsense' attack!

I'm not your gopher. Look it up yourself. It was in military publications when he was proposing it. They are online, do your own footwork or wallow in your current ignorance. It makes no difference to me.

52 posted on 11/09/2006 9:20:36 PM PST by Pelham (1 Billion Guest Workers doing Jobs Americans Won't Do.)
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To: MNJohnnie

Fine. You and farmer Hanson can go ahead and dump on Reagan.

OBL gave interviews to western journalists before he went into hiding. He gave his reasons for his jihad against America. He didn't include farmer Hanson's reasons. But then what would Osama know compared to Victor Hanson about what motivates him?


53 posted on 11/09/2006 9:24:58 PM PST by Pelham (1 Billion Guest Workers doing Jobs Americans Won't Do.)
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To: Pelham
What part of the statement you highlighted is historically incorrect? We were deep in Cold War thinking at the time. Our current situation is partially blowback from it. Taking a critical assessment after the fact is appropriate, not an attempt to condemn, after the fact.
54 posted on 11/09/2006 9:25:35 PM PST by GoLightly
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To: Logical me
The Russians followed their "More troops dogma" in Afghanistan. We sent 500,000 troops to Vietnam at the height of our involvement.

How did that work out?

It was never about troop levels. Rummy took their rice bowls from them. The fat cats and defense contractors and the Congress critters figure happy days were back. They were going to use the War on Terror as the excuse to totally rebuilt the big immobile Heavy Armor military of the late 1980s. 09-11 was their excuse to make a mint of money off the taxpayers and get all their big shiny toys back.

Rummy looked around and said It makes no sense to build the kind of military to fight a kind of war no one can possibly wage against us for decades to come. We need to tailor our forces to the missions they are going to be called upon to perform.

Suddenly all their dreams of rebuilding a huge ponderous Military designed to stop the Russians from ever invading Poland ever again vanished. So out came the knifes of the DC Old Boys club for Rummys hide.

This is what happens when you try to put Conventional Military forces in charge of an Asymmetrical warfare problem. They simply have neither the training or the mindset to do it. SOF does but they do not fit the Political Generals neat little dogmas so don't like them. Rummy knew it and took a chuck of their cash away to build the SOF up. As usual the Congrescritters and the Pentagon Bureaucrats simply refused to evolve. NO they were all right, Rummy was an idiot.
55 posted on 11/09/2006 9:28:51 PM PST by MNJohnnie (The Democrat Party: Hard on Taxpayers, Soft on Terrorism!)
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To: Cicero

Nuke Mecca?


56 posted on 11/09/2006 9:32:35 PM PST by alcuin (Mother, I did a bad thing . . .)
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To: KDD
The American people voted against neo-con nation building schemes and conflicts. Iraq should have about as much political autonomy as Japan did after WWII.

Counter Insurgency is not Total War. You all tried that dogma in Vietnam. How did it work out?

Man the Freeper Arm Chair Generals are a bunch of seriously ignorant people!

HERE is what Iraq was about. Try to learn something instead of just screaming talk radio slogans and Know Nothing Dogmas.

Why Iraq"

One of the really infuriating things in modern politics is the level of disinformation, misinformation, demagoguery and out right lying going on about the mission in Iraq. Democrats have spent the last 3+ years lying about Iraq out of a political calculation. The assumption is that the natural isolationist mindset of the average American voter, linked to the inherent Anti Americanism (what is misnamed the "Anti War movement") of the more feverish Democrat activists (especially those running the US's National "News" media) would restore them to national political dominance. The truth is the Democrat Party Leadership has simply lacked the courage to speak truth to whiners. The truth is that even if Al Gore won the 2000 election and 09-11 still happened we would be doing the EXACT same things in Iraq we are doing now.

Based on the political situation in the region left over from the 1991 Gulf War plus the domestic political consensus built up in BOTH parties since 1991 as well as fundamental military strategic laws, there was NO viable strategic choice for the US but to take out Iraq after finishing the initial operations in Afghanistan.

To start with Saddam's Iraq was our most immediate threat. We could NOT commit significant military forces to another battle with Saddam hovering undefeated on our flank nor could we leave significant forces watching Saddam. The political containment of Iraq was breaking down. That what Oil for Food was all about. Oil for Food was an attempt by Iraq to break out of it's diplomatic isolation and slip the shackles the UN Sanctions put on it's military. There there was the US Strategic position to consider.

The War on Islamic Fascism is different sort of war. in facing this Asymmetrical threat, we have a hidden foe, spread out across a geographically diverse area, with covert sources of supply. Since we cannot go everywhere they hide out, in fact often cannot even locate them until the engage us, we need to draw them out of hiding into a kill zone.

Iraq is that kill zone. That is the true brilliance of the Iraq strategy. We draw the terrorists out of their world wide hiding places onto a battlefield they have to fight on for political reasons (The "Holy" soil of the Arabian peninsula) where they have to pit their weakest ability (Conventional Military combat power) against our greatest strength (ability to call down unbelievable amounts of firepower) where they will primarily have to fight other forces (the Iraqi Security forces) in a battlefield that is mostly neutral in terms of guerrilla warfare. (Iraqi-mostly open terrain as opposed to guerrilla friendly areas like the mountains of Afghanistan or the jungles of SE Asia).

Did any of the critics of liberating Iraq ever look at a map? Iraq, for which we had the political, legal and moral justifications to attack, is the strategic high ground of the Middle East. A Geographic barrier that severs ground communication between Iran and Syria apart as well as providing another front of attack in either state or into Saudi Arabia if needed.

There were other reasons to do Iraq but here is the strategic military reason we are in Iraq. We have taken, an maintain the initiative from the Terrorists. They are playing OUR game on ground of OUR choosing.

Problem is Counter Insurgency is SLOW and painful. Often a case of 3 steps forward, two steps back. One has to wonder if the American people have either the emotional maturity, nor the intellect" to understand. It's so much easier to spew made for TV slogans like "No Blood for Oil" or "We support the Troops, bring them home" or dumbest of all "We are creating terrorists" then to actually THINK.

Westerners in general, and the US citizens in particular seem to have trouble grasping the fundamental fact of this foe. These Islamic Fascists have NO desire to co-exist with them. The extremists see all this PC posturing by the Hysteric Left as a sign that we are weak. Since they want us dead, weakness encourages them. There is simply no way to coexist with people who completely believe their "god" will reward them for killing us.

So we can covert to Islam, die or kill them. Iraq is about killing enough of them to make the rest of the Jihadists realize we are serious. They same way killing enough Germans, Italians and Japanese eliminated the ideologies of Nazism, Fascism and Bushido. Americans need to understand how Bin Laden and his ilk view us. In the Arab world the USA is considered a big wimp. We have run away so many times. Lebanon, the Kurds, the Iraqis in 1991, the Iranians, Somalia, Clinton all thru the 1990s etc etc etc. The Jihadists think we will run again. In fact they are counting on it. That way they can run around screaming "We beat the American just like the Russians, come join us in Jihad" and recruit the next round of "holy warriors". Iraq is also a show place where we show the Muslim world that there are a lines they cannot cross. On 9-11-01 they crossed that line and we can, and will, destroy them for it

57 posted on 11/09/2006 9:33:47 PM PST by MNJohnnie (The Democrat Party: Hard on Taxpayers, Soft on Terrorism!)
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To: Rokke

The reforms Rumsfeld needed to be addressing were our ability to deal with fourth generation warfare.


58 posted on 11/09/2006 9:35:19 PM PST by Pelham (1 Billion Guest Workers doing Jobs Americans Won't Do.)
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To: GoLightly

Have you read the interviews with Osama where he describes his reasons for jihad against America? He was angry that we had defiled "sacred" Saudi Arabian soil by stationing infidel troops there in Gulf War I. He was angry that we support "corrupt" Muslim regimes that the al Qaedan purists despise. He was angry that we projected power into the Persian Gulf.

The only parallel between Hanson's grab bag of "causes" of 9-11 and Osama's is our support for the House of Saud.

Osama didn't give a rat's behind about Lebanon. Or the Iran Iraq War. He's not some sort of pan-Arabist who supports all nominal Islamics. He'd kill plenty of them because they are heretics in his eyes. Something we ought to let him try spending his time doing, it would keep him very busy. The group that bombed the Marines at the airport were marxists loosely allied with the soviets. Hardly al Qaeda material.


59 posted on 11/09/2006 9:49:52 PM PST by Pelham
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To: Cicero

> one of our country's greatest generals, Douglas MacArthur,

MacArthur was an insubordinate martinet well past his prime. The man forgot that military leaders are subordinate to political leaders and tried to run his own foreign policy.


60 posted on 11/09/2006 9:50:01 PM PST by glorgau
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