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Warning: What to Expect
Self | 11/7/06 | LS

Posted on 11/07/2006 4:29:51 PM PST by LS

All right, folks. Guess I have to do it again around here and hand out the chill pills.

1) It is absolutely clear to me that we have won this. We will keep the Senate, and I'm 90% sure we keep the House. We'll probably gain a seat, maybe two in the Senate.

2) I know this from the turnout numbers, just as I did in 2004. The fact is, forget Indies. They don't vote in high numbers. It's all about the two parties, and who gets out their base.

We have done that today beyond my wildest expectations. The info we have from the Hotline on turnout is overwhelming, and in virtually every key state, we have exceeded Dem turnout by 2, 3, 4, or 6%.

As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County! Brown and Strickland couldn't get elected dog catcher with that level of support.

SO HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT: THE MEDIA IDIOTS HAVE THEIR TEMPLATES. THEY WILL BE VERY SLOW TO COME AROUND. IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT, BECAUSE THEY WON'T BELIEVE THEIR EYES.

They may even "call" a few House races, maybe a Senate race, based on some ridiculously low "exit poll" and have to recant later. Be patient. The turnout numbers suggest we absolutely cannot lose.


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: democrats; election; imdrunk; realclearamateur; republicans; returns; roveyoudumbass; thisguyhasnoclue; toast; wasteofbandwidth; whothhellisthisguy
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To: comebacknewt

Those have already been called defeats!! I hate CNN...AND FOX.


301 posted on 11/07/2006 5:43:37 PM PST by Suzy Quzy
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To: bnelson44; LS

I'm hoping this is the year when the MSM gets way too far out on the limb with predictions and loses all remaining credibility. In five years I'd like to see the New York Times with a paper circulation of only 100,000 with only half of those fools outside of New York City.


302 posted on 11/07/2006 5:43:50 PM PST by defenderSD (The concept of national martyrdom, combined with nuclear weapons, is extremely dangerous.)
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To: Frank Sheed

That's me.


303 posted on 11/07/2006 5:43:55 PM PST by LS
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To: beyond the sea

If you are just going to sit there and bash folks for being optimistic..what is the point?


304 posted on 11/07/2006 5:44:03 PM PST by maineman
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To: bnelson44

Do we know which counties haven't reported and if those are urban counties? I don't know anything about Indiana county names.


305 posted on 11/07/2006 5:45:07 PM PST by defenderSD (The concept of national martyrdom, combined with nuclear weapons, is extremely dangerous.)
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To: A Citizen Reporter
I haven't either, but put it on after dinner. They're getting to me. :-(

We watched a special on JACK THE RIPPER, earlier, and it was far less "nasty" than the NITWITS on FNC...and the RIPPER show was steeped in really NASTY details.

I guess that I will have to turn off FNC. They're making me ill.

306 posted on 11/07/2006 5:45:52 PM PST by nopardons
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To: debg

"Hate never wins.."

...and love never fails.


307 posted on 11/07/2006 5:46:10 PM PST by MonicaG (Mathew 6:25-33)
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To: maineman
Why in the world do people like you suggest that being realistic is "bashing"?

Get real.

308 posted on 11/07/2006 5:46:28 PM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
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Comment #309 Removed by Moderator

To: LS

Bravo...!

Two "new books" to be added to my Amazon Christmas Wish List! Trust the residuals are still coming in strong?


310 posted on 11/07/2006 5:46:44 PM PST by Frank Sheed (T? br?n orainn. N?l Sp?innis againn anseo.)
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To: beyond the sea

KS has a track record, you don't,


311 posted on 11/07/2006 5:47:06 PM PST by Leto
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To: Leto

KS has a track record, you don't,
__________

True, but I'm getting real nervous.


312 posted on 11/07/2006 5:48:04 PM PST by snarkytart
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To: nopardons

I'm a Dancing with the Stars addict, so I'm watching ballroom dancing now. And I just saw Emmitt Smith dance a waltz that was great.


313 posted on 11/07/2006 5:48:23 PM PST by A Citizen Reporter (Sign at World Series in St. Louis, October 27, 2006 "The Experts are Idiots")
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To: LS

According to my Fox News online tracker, they just called Casey over Santorum with only 2,700 votes compiled. How in the world can that be?? Just confirming your point!!


314 posted on 11/07/2006 5:49:02 PM PST by Lando Lincoln (For what cause would a liberal go to war? ...besides revolutions...)
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To: LS
LS, I've been defending you via FReepmail with one of your antagonists here, and I just wanted to say your observations have been interesting. I recall how completely resigned to defeat I was this time in the night in 2004.

But I have to bow out. I simply can't TAKE this. I think I am going to try watching a movie and come back in two hours, and see what has happened. So I am abandoning ship!!!!

But there's really nothing to be accomplised by watching now. Unless you want to read about the one Republican in Massachusetts losing it in the streets... :)

Catch you all in a couple hours.

315 posted on 11/07/2006 5:49:04 PM PST by Darkwolf377 (Republican, atheist, pro-lifer, stranded in Blue Boston)
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To: LS

Fox just called Ohio for Brown


316 posted on 11/07/2006 5:49:09 PM PST by Chunga (Conservatives Don't Let Democrats Win Elections. They Vote Republican.)
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To: Leto
KS

LOL

317 posted on 11/07/2006 5:50:02 PM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
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To: LS

"Again, I'm not buying ANY calls. Just looked at the local news. They "called" OH governor with 1% of the vote. Sorry, I think we learned SOMETHING from 2004."


You'd think so, wouldn't ya? LOL.


318 posted on 11/07/2006 5:50:12 PM PST by rwsteel (One man can change the world. Wanna see how? Here! Hold muh beer and watch this...)
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To: Chunga

placemark


319 posted on 11/07/2006 5:50:17 PM PST by greyfoxx39 (Praying hard!)
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To: A Citizen Reporter

Yay, Emmitt! (He's from the same town as me!)


320 posted on 11/07/2006 5:50:19 PM PST by vrwcagent0498 (Mark Levin and Ann Coulter are my patron saints.)
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