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Warning: What to Expect
Self | 11/7/06 | LS

Posted on 11/07/2006 4:29:51 PM PST by LS

All right, folks. Guess I have to do it again around here and hand out the chill pills.

1) It is absolutely clear to me that we have won this. We will keep the Senate, and I'm 90% sure we keep the House. We'll probably gain a seat, maybe two in the Senate.

2) I know this from the turnout numbers, just as I did in 2004. The fact is, forget Indies. They don't vote in high numbers. It's all about the two parties, and who gets out their base.

We have done that today beyond my wildest expectations. The info we have from the Hotline on turnout is overwhelming, and in virtually every key state, we have exceeded Dem turnout by 2, 3, 4, or 6%.

As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County! Brown and Strickland couldn't get elected dog catcher with that level of support.

SO HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT: THE MEDIA IDIOTS HAVE THEIR TEMPLATES. THEY WILL BE VERY SLOW TO COME AROUND. IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT, BECAUSE THEY WON'T BELIEVE THEIR EYES.

They may even "call" a few House races, maybe a Senate race, based on some ridiculously low "exit poll" and have to recant later. Be patient. The turnout numbers suggest we absolutely cannot lose.


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: democrats; election; imdrunk; realclearamateur; republicans; returns; roveyoudumbass; thisguyhasnoclue; toast; wasteofbandwidth; whothhellisthisguy
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To: LS

Oh man... now Allen is down in VA. I'm thinking LS better get his facts straight before making predictions. Not a single good word yet from the results coming in.


181 posted on 11/07/2006 5:01:44 PM PST by ruschpa
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To: LS; shield

I am getting nervous again.


182 posted on 11/07/2006 5:01:59 PM PST by Perdogg (Democratic Party - The political wing of Al Qaida)
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To: NittanyLion

Put this in perspective. In the sixth years of a presidency the EXPECTATION is the out-of-power party romps {I think the average is 40 seats}.

If we keep the House it will be a historic accomplishment!


183 posted on 11/07/2006 5:02:36 PM PST by Cedric
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To: ladyinred

bookmarked!


184 posted on 11/07/2006 5:02:40 PM PST by RoseofTexas
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To: Perdogg
I am getting nervous again.

One word: whisky.

:^)

185 posted on 11/07/2006 5:02:59 PM PST by Disambiguator
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To: JWinNC

Commonwealth of Virgina's website is currently reporting a statistical dead heat between Allen and Webb (27.55% reporting).


186 posted on 11/07/2006 5:03:02 PM PST by Skywarner (The U.S. Armed Forces... Producers of FREEDOM for over 200 years!!)
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To: JCEccles

I am starting to.


187 posted on 11/07/2006 5:03:02 PM PST by comebacknewt
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To: woofie

LOL!


188 posted on 11/07/2006 5:03:07 PM PST by spinestein (DOING THE JOB THE OLD MEDIA USED TO DO)
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To: LS; NittanyLion
No, but a surge doesn't mean everyone wins by huge margins. It means a lot of close races break the right way.

Put a "D" at the end of your screen name. You are speaking out of your mind tonight. I seriously wish you were correct........ but you are not.

189 posted on 11/07/2006 5:03:48 PM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
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To: Liberty Valance

Hook 'em


190 posted on 11/07/2006 5:04:20 PM PST by Flightdeck
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To: Perdogg

Barrow (R) leading Marshall in GA. That's a takeaway.


191 posted on 11/07/2006 5:04:34 PM PST by LS
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To: LS

northrup now down 3600 wih 81% reporting.


192 posted on 11/07/2006 5:04:39 PM PST by oceanview
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To: Cedric

ok..........


193 posted on 11/07/2006 5:05:08 PM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
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To: beyond the sea

I'm done talking to you.


194 posted on 11/07/2006 5:05:08 PM PST by LS
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Bookmark


195 posted on 11/07/2006 5:05:14 PM PST by mac_truck ( Aide toi et dieu l’aidera)
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To: spinestein
Flagmark

Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting


196 posted on 11/07/2006 5:05:18 PM PST by No Blue States
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To: oceanview

That's closing some. BTW, Barrow ahead of Marshall in GA. That's a pickup.


197 posted on 11/07/2006 5:05:45 PM PST by LS
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To: beyond the sea

place mark 2


198 posted on 11/07/2006 5:06:31 PM PST by Frank Sheed (T? br?n orainn. N?l Sp?innis againn anseo.)
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I think LS will be eating major crow... nothing is swinging our way.


199 posted on 11/07/2006 5:06:37 PM PST by ruschpa
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To: Cedric
Wait, Einstein.

Is that a command, dear Cedric?

***

"The word 'genius' isn't applicable in football. A genius is a guy like Norman Einstein." -- Joe Theisman, NFL football quarterback and sports analyst

200 posted on 11/07/2006 5:07:15 PM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
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