I'm looking at ABC's wrap-up of the exit polls on their website, and what strikes me is actually that the Bush approval/disapproval numbers seem relatively FAVORABLE. Their wording is that "almost" 60% of voters voiced disapproval and "about" 40% approved the Pres' job - which indicates to me something like a 58-42, 59-41 sort of spread. That would actually be a step BETTER than the numbers the Pres has generally been pulling. Usually his job approval ratings tend to be around 38-62, 37-63 A/D respectively, going off the top of my head. I hope the math explains itself as quickly as it does to my overly-stressed brain, but this would indicate, bottom line, good things for the Republicans.
Heres some scary polling(not exit) numbers from NRO:
A survey of 1200 likely voters taken in 12 swing districts this past Sunday and Monday might explain why Republicans might have a long night ahead of them. The veteran GOP pollster says he has "never seen anything like it." Asked who is more likely to cut taxes for the middle class - 42 percent said Democrats, 29 picked Republicans. Who is more likely to reduce the deficit? 47 - Democrats, 22 - Repubicans. And, who is more likely to control spending? Democrats - 38, Republicans - 21. In the past, even if Repubicans didn't win some race or another, they were more trusted on taxes and spending issues.