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Promising Info From Jim Geraghty of NRO
National Review Online ^

Posted on 11/07/2006 2:04:58 PM PST by jokova

Live from CNN's Blogomania at Tryst 11/07 05:00 PM CNN's setup is wild - lots of folks whose faces you vaguely recognize, then lots of folks whose blog you recognize. Avarosis is here - whatever you think of his blog, he's a true gentlemen. He and Krempasky and Jerome Armstrong are all sitting near each other. They may talk to the bloggers around 7ish. Every indicator I have says the GOP base turned out. Whether that's enough to hold the House isnt clear; it ought to mean some good news in the Senate races. We're going to see what happens when the GOP base turns out in a tough year; if nothing else, the Republicans have pretty much shot the 40-50-60 seat gain talk all to hell.

Turnout in Virginia is way up; but they didn't have a very contested race in 2004, they did this year. Some precincts were at 80 percent of 2005 shortly after noon. The good news for Allen is that the turnout is as big in Southwest as in the Northern D.C. suburbs.

An exciting night ahead of us...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
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Geraghty continues to look optimistically.....
1 posted on 11/07/2006 2:04:59 PM PST by jokova
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To: jokova

"The good news for Allen is that the turnout is as big in Southwest as in the Northern D.C. suburbs."

And a few hours ago Major Garrett and Carl Cameron said turnout for Repubs. was not good and was bad news for Allen. Go figure.


2 posted on 11/07/2006 2:07:23 PM PST by hsmomx3 (Steelers in '07--Go BIG BEN!!!)
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To: jokova
indicator I have says the GOP base turned out.

I hope so. I'm optimistic, because it's better than being pessimistic.
The turn out is pretty high all over from what I've read.

3 posted on 11/07/2006 2:09:12 PM PST by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal.")
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To: jokova
I think we'll hold the House. The Blue Wave? I haven't seen it.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." -Manuel II Paleologus

4 posted on 11/07/2006 2:09:40 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

If we hold the House, we will DEFINITELY hold the Senate--the Senate is the leading indicator, the House the lagging indicator.


5 posted on 11/07/2006 2:10:35 PM PST by BeHoldAPaleHorse ( ~()):~)>)
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To: hsmomx3

And a few hours ago Major Garrett and Carl Cameron said turnout for Repubs. was not good and was bad news for Allen. Go figure.


...I can't 'go figure.' It makes no sense. Is Carl & Major becoming a dem backer or was it a case of them not having the data we have now?


6 posted on 11/07/2006 2:11:18 PM PST by albie
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To: hsmomx3

That was right after schumer talked to them. carl is a dim and his wife is a dim.

LLS


7 posted on 11/07/2006 2:11:33 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (Preserve America... kill terrorists... destroy dims!)
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To: hsmomx3
And a few hours ago Major Garrett and Carl Cameron said turnout for Repubs. was not good and was bad news for Allen. Go figure.

Sheesh...doesn't that just make you nuts?

8 posted on 11/07/2006 2:11:37 PM PST by tsmith130
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To: jokova

Sounds good. Let's hope more good news follows.


9 posted on 11/07/2006 2:11:40 PM PST by mainepatsfan
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To: jokova

Doesn't Virginia have a big proposal on the ballot?


10 posted on 11/07/2006 2:11:43 PM PST by MHT
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To: goldstategop

I want to hear from Michael Barone. No one has these races down like he does. I find him the most knowledgable of anyone of what goes on in Congressional races.


11 posted on 11/07/2006 2:12:24 PM PST by GOP_Proud (How covert was Valerie Plame at the CIA? Her top-secret code name was "Valerie Plame." ...Coulter)
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To: BeHoldAPaleHorse
From your mouth to God's ears, I'll like to see the Drive Bys and MSM get shellacked more than the Democrats. I hate them.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." -Manuel II Paleologus

12 posted on 11/07/2006 2:12:30 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: MHT

Marriage amendment.


13 posted on 11/07/2006 2:12:56 PM PST by BeHoldAPaleHorse ( ~()):~)>)
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To: GOP_Proud

Ditto.


14 posted on 11/07/2006 2:12:59 PM PST by mainepatsfan
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To: MHT

yes, a constitutional amendment on marriage


15 posted on 11/07/2006 2:13:22 PM PST by WashingtonSource
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To: MHT
Doesn't Virginia have a big proposal on the ballot?

Yes. Adding the definition of marriage as one-man-one-woman to the state constitution.

16 posted on 11/07/2006 2:13:39 PM PST by nina0113
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To: albie

I should have clarified myself in that they sounded like the rest of the MSM.


17 posted on 11/07/2006 2:13:48 PM PST by hsmomx3 (Steelers in '07--Go BIG BEN!!!)
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To: goldstategop

I agree. I haven't felt any need to worry. It's possible I'm crazy, but I just haven't trusted the polls nor the media. If they were credible, I'd be more worried about the numbers.


18 posted on 11/07/2006 2:13:54 PM PST by ConservativeMind
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To: goldstategop

bookmark


19 posted on 11/07/2006 2:14:30 PM PST by lugsoul (Livin' in fear is just another way of dying before your time. - Mike Cooley)
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To: GOP_Proud

I thought I heard yesterday that he predicted the Dems to take control.


20 posted on 11/07/2006 2:14:39 PM PST by hsmomx3 (Steelers in '07--Go BIG BEN!!!)
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