Posted on 11/07/2006 11:06:26 AM PST by freedomdefender
it seems a safe bet that Mr. Steele will win at least 20 percent of the black vote -- most polls show him at least in that range -- but it is the movement on the ground that most strongly suggests a Steele surge in the black vote. Mr. Steele won the enthusiastic backing of hip-hop legend Russell Simmons -- an unabashed Democrat -- and he's also received support from a number of leading black pastors, influential figures in their communities. These endorsements are particularly significant in light of the anger felt by many black Democrats in Maryland after what they considered a snubbing of Mr. Mfume in the primary. And Mr. Cardin certainly didn't help his cause when he pulled out of an NAACP-sponsored debate at the last minute. But the Republican has received no support more important than the backing of all five black members of the Prince George's County Council -- all of whom are elected Democrats. Mr. Steele hails from Largo, which is part of the vote-rich county, giving him an advantage already over his Baltimore-based opponent in terms of visibility in the Washington suburbs. Prince George's County, the wealthiest majority-minority county in the nation, is normally a reliable Democratic stronghold, but if Mr. Steele pulls over 35 percent there, his chance of victory skyrockets.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...
20% is what the polls they were refering to were saying, and it seems to indicate he'll get much more then that.
I think it was Survey USA had him getting closer to 33%.
PG County, MD is a bellweather AA county in the USA
-------
Exactly. And there are Steele signs border to border.
Swann and Blackwell had different environments to run in. I agree Steele ran a better campaign, but I don't think either of them would have won even if they had run better campaigns.
Blackwell would probably have won in a landslide in 2002 or might still be able to win a comeback bid in 2010, but this year the environment is just poisonous for R's in Ohio because of Taft.
Swann is running against and incumbent, and has little experience, and Rendell is one of the most experienced Pols in the nation.
I'm not saying I don't like Swann or Blackwell, just saying they had very different challenges.
"20% is what the polls they were refering to were saying, and it seems to indicate he'll get much more then that.
"I think it was Survey USA had him getting closer to 33%."
That would be very good news and certainly would be moving into a more respectable range.
My posts weren't meant to be negative, just to put things in perspective. I realize things don't change overnight; the fact is, however, they haven't changed much in several decades.
Try the crab instead. You'll find it's much better. :0)
I only spoke to 1 person, an older black women behind me in line with I slight accent. She said she had just recently in the past few years became a citizen and she was proud of Michael and wanted to see him win.
I agreed and said I was voting the same way.
"20% is what the polls they were refering to were saying, and it seems to indicate he'll get much more then that.That would be very good news and certainly would be moving into a more respectable range."I think it was Survey USA had him getting closer to 33%."
I have long held the view that Republicans should be assiduously cultivating and nominating black conservatives in the purple and blue states especially. Because it's not the percentage of the vote you get, it's the net difference which counts.A Republican who gets only 10% of the AA vote is in the hole by a net 80% (90%-10%) of the AA vote. A Republican who gets 20%, OTOH, is only in the hole by a net 60% of the AA vote. Assuming constant turnout, that is a substantial boost. If indeed Steele gets 35%, he will only be in the hole by 30% of the AA vote. That should be enough to put the Democrats in a fair fight!
I hope you're right.
This could be a very important GOP victory when it comes to winning the minority vote.
If the GOP had roundabout 20% black support no Dimocrat would ever be elected again. That's how much of a difference it is. If the numbers are true, Steele is a lock.
You are probalby correct!!! Love the spell checker, but yes the CRAB is better than the other!!!!!!!
About time...the "up-yours-we're-done-with-the-plantation" vote! Long overdue!
What they're not saying about the pastors is that they have woke up to the fact that the Democrats by and large represent unGodly values in direct opposition to God's word. Democrats who take the Christian faith seriously (and there are some) have found themselves shunned by their own party. They are given a choice: God or party. They have made up their minds.
Praise the Lord and His Truth!
Alas it was the hispanics that defeated Steele. I saw the demographics in MD and there was a huge shift against Steele. We may never see a black conservative elected because of how much the hispanics hate blacks. They vote against black Democtats too. I would like to see how Ford did among hispanics in Tennessee.
But we're only ~4% hispanic, right?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.