"I'd really love to hear the reasons for your optimism."
Just look at some of the last few elections and how wrong the polls were! One case in point, Bush v. Kerry, Kerry thought he had it all sewn up because of the precious polls and he LOST!!!!!!
It has gotten even worse since then with polls being skewed toward the dems.
Uhh, the polls weren't 'that' wrong. The GOP won most of the tossups the past two elections, that's all that happened. With the exception of Zogsauce, most of the polls from races we won were in the margin of error.
And we weren't trailing consistently in virtually any of the races we won except Saxby Chambliss in 2002. And even that had a big Saxby uptick in the last few days.
All I'm saying is be realistic. This isn't going to be a good year for us.
That's the myth alright, but these were the 2004 polling averages in reality:
I don't know why people keep bringing that up. The polls just before the election showed a dead heat, not Kerry up by 10 or something.