"The MSM is going to commit mass suicide on the evening of November 7th."
Please oh please let that be true! I'd PAY to see it!
"I'd really love to hear the reasons for your optimism."
Just look at some of the last few elections and how wrong the polls were! One case in point, Bush v. Kerry, Kerry thought he had it all sewn up because of the precious polls and he LOST!!!!!!
It has gotten even worse since then with polls being skewed toward the dems.
Todd's assessment seems like a fair one. On that graphic they have a link to with "key races" I see some surprises. For example, the Graf v Gifford race is rated tossup. I thought most analysts thought the Dem was a sure winner. The OR governor race also is much closer than expected. The Dems expect big state house gains but it might not be as big as they thought. Interesting.