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To: Mo1

oh dear, Brit says "outside chance democrats will pick up the senate". Folks, I think he's best casing it. Mira Liaason says there are 8 competitive races, and it looks (to me), like we are losing in 6 of them right now.
Kristol says some of those close races are in 3 red states. He predicts Republicans in those states will vote for republican senators. YIKES! Pinning my hopes on a Kristol prediction is not comforting!!!

Santorum 38% Casey ______ higher, I missed it. Brit says this state is lost .

Ford ahead in TN.

Allen in VA dog fight says Wallace. Kristol says Allen will win 4 points ahead now.

kean 40% Menendez 44% tight Juan says, but predicts Menendez will win.


228 posted on 10/08/2006 7:53:16 AM PDT by YaYa123
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To: YaYa123

Just Great!....I'm just sick over this...I'm praying all the polls are wrong!


235 posted on 10/08/2006 7:55:52 AM PDT by mystery-ak (My Son, My Soldier, My Hero........God Speed Jonathan......)
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To: YaYa123
They are all tight races

Santorum could easily win if the "true" conservatives up state stop playing games
245 posted on 10/08/2006 8:00:05 AM PDT by Mo1 (SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC - BECOME A MONTHLY DONOR)
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To: YaYa123

"kean 40% Menendez 44% tight Juan says, but predicts Menendez will win."

I think Kean may be able to pull it out if 1) the Dims in NJ don't bring illegals and dead voters out in droves and 2) more comes out about Mendenez's legal problems.
Both probably big IFs.

Here's what realclearpolitics has right now:
Poll Date Sample Kean (R) Menendez (D) Und. Spread
RCP Average 09/24 - 10/02 - 40.7 44.0 13.7 Menendez +3.3
Fairleigh Dickinson 09/27 - 10/02 514 LV 39 46 13 Menendez +7.0
Reuters/Zogby 09/25 - 10/02 600 LV 35 46 15 Menendez +11.0
USA Today/Gallup 09/27 - 10/01 542 LV 43 46 9 Menendez +3.0
Marist 09/28 - 09/28 460 RV 42 37 21 Kean +5.0
Mason-Dixon 09/24 - 09/27 625 LV 41 44 13 Menendez +3.0
Rutgers-Eagleton 09/24 - 09/26 404 LV 44 45 11 Menendez +1.0




DEMOCRATS NEED TO NET SIX SEATS TO TAKE OVER SENATE
RCP Avgs: Dems + 5/6 Seats




TOSS UPS
MO: Talent* vs McCaskill
NJ: Kean vs Menendez*
OH: DeWine* vs Brown
TN: Corker vs Ford
VA: Allen* vs Webb

LEANS DEMOCRAT
MD: Steele vs Cardin
MT: Burns* vs Tester
PA: Santorum* vs Casey
RI: Chafee* vs Whitehouse

LEANS REPUBLICAN

LIKELY DEMOCRAT
MN: Kennedy vs Klobuchar
MI: Bouchard vs Stabenow*
WA: McGavick vs Cantwell*

LIKELY REPUBLICAN
AZ: Kyl* vs Pederson

LIKELY LIEBERMAN
CT: Lieberman* vs Lamont
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2006/senate/nj/new_jersey_senate_race-10.html


283 posted on 10/08/2006 8:27:12 AM PDT by Seattle Conservative (God Bless and protect our troops and their CIC)
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To: YaYa123

Did you see the Harold Ford "I was a lawyer before I wasn't" video at HotAir? TN is abuzz.


307 posted on 10/08/2006 8:37:46 AM PDT by AliVeritas (Gay democrats... you are about to go the way of blacks for illegals votes... your party.)
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