[Seattle Conservative]

"kean 40% Menendez 44% tight Juan says, but predicts Menendez will win."

I think Kean may be able to pull it out if 1) the Dims in NJ don't bring illegals and dead voters out in droves and 2) more comes out about Mendenez's legal problems.
Both probably big IFs.

Here's what realclearpolitics has right now:
Poll Date Sample Kean (R) Menendez (D) Und. Spread
RCP Average 09/24 - 10/02 - 40.7 44.0 13.7 Menendez +3.3
Fairleigh Dickinson 09/27 - 10/02 514 LV 39 46 13 Menendez +7.0
Reuters/Zogby 09/25 - 10/02 600 LV 35 46 15 Menendez +11.0
USA Today/Gallup 09/27 - 10/01 542 LV 43 46 9 Menendez +3.0
Marist 09/28 - 09/28 460 RV 42 37 21 Kean +5.0
Mason-Dixon 09/24 - 09/27 625 LV 41 44 13 Menendez +3.0
Rutgers-Eagleton 09/24 - 09/26 404 LV 44 45 11 Menendez +1.0




DEMOCRATS NEED TO NET SIX SEATS TO TAKE OVER SENATE
RCP Avgs: Dems + 5/6 Seats

---

TOSS UPS
MO: Talent* vs McCaskill
NJ: Kean vs Menendez*
OH: DeWine* vs Brown
TN: Corker vs Ford
VA: Allen* vs Webb

LEANS DEMOCRAT
MD: Steele vs Cardin
MT: Burns* vs Tester
PA: Santorum* vs Casey
RI: Chafee* vs Whitehouse

LEANS REPUBLICAN

LIKELY DEMOCRAT
MN: Kennedy vs Klobuchar
MI: Bouchard vs Stabenow*
WA: McGavick vs Cantwell*

LIKELY REPUBLICAN
AZ: Kyl* vs Pederson

LIKELY LIEBERMAN
CT: Lieberman* vs Lamont
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2006/senate/nj/new_jersey_senate_race-10.html

[texicali]

thks SC:)

[AliVeritas]

I can't for the life of me understand how NJ would vote for Menendez (in spite of Kean Jr.). Did Kean stating Hastert should resign bump his numbers up? I hope he's happy./s

[Right_in_Virginia]

Should there be a separate thread dedicated to Republicans in need of contributions?

In the end, it will all come down to air time and we can help pay for it.