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Tropical Storm Ernesto leaves Florida and heads for the Carolinas
NWS/NHC ^ | 30 August 2006 | NHC

Posted on 08/30/2006 6:30:12 PM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: NCjim

Thanks for the good wishes and take care where you are.


841 posted on 08/31/2006 7:59:31 PM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
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To: STARWISE

Thanks for the link.

June is as late as they posted.

http://www.weather.com/aboutus/television/music/june2006.html


842 posted on 08/31/2006 7:59:52 PM PDT by bwteim (bwteim: Begin With The End In Mind)
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To: RDTF

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on August 31, 2006


reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft and data
from the Wilmington North Carolina WSR-88D indicate that Ernesto
has come up just short in its bid to become a hurricane. The radar
showed winds near 75 kt about 3000 ft above the surface a few hours
ago...but those winds have since diminished. The hurricane hunter
just reported a minimum central pressure of 988 mb about 10 N mi
from the North Carolina coast...with 63 kt winds
70 N mi northeast of the center. Some central convection remains
over water...and until this is inland there is a chance that
Ernesto could briefly reach hurricane strength in the next few
hours. Overall...Ernesto should weaken over land...then become
extratropical in about 36 hr. The cyclone should be absorbed by
the baroclinic system over the eastern United States in 48-72 hr.

The initial motion is 020/16. Ernesto should turn northward during
the next 24 hr and then north-northwestward as it rotates around
the deep-layer baroclinic system over the eastern United States.
All model track guidance agrees with this...and the new forecast
track is on the eastern edge of the model guidance. It is shifted
a little to the east of the previous track based mainly on the
initial position.

The combination of Ernesto and a strong high pressure area to the
northeast is expected to produce gale force winds from the Delmarva
Peninsula northward. However...these winds are not directly
associated with the circulation of the tropical cyclone. See
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.


Forecast positions and Max winds


initial 01/0300z 33.9n 78.2w 60 kt
12hr VT 01/1200z 35.7n 77.3w 45 kt...inland
24hr VT 02/0000z 37.6n 77.2w 30 kt...inland
36hr VT 02/1200z 39.4n 77.5w 25 kt...extratropical
48hr VT 03/0000z 41.7n 78.4w 25 kt...extratropical
72hr VT 04/0000z...absorbed by extratropical system


$$
forecaster Beven


843 posted on 08/31/2006 8:00:09 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: don-o
and domestic violence.

From what? Folks unable to make a beer run because of the weather?

844 posted on 08/31/2006 8:00:37 PM PDT by dirtboy (This tagline has been photoshopped)
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To: tarheelswamprat

Prayers UP .


845 posted on 08/31/2006 8:01:26 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: dirtboy; Howlin

"domestic violence. "
"From what? Folks unable to make a beer run because of the weather?"

No, the FRANTIC piano music on TWC that howlin mentioned. Sets some people off.


846 posted on 08/31/2006 8:03:31 PM PDT by bwteim (bwteim: Begin With The End In Mind)
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To: nwctwx

what a wacky storm!


847 posted on 08/31/2006 8:03:39 PM PDT by RDTF ("We love death. The US loves life. That is the big difference between us two.” Osama Bin laden)
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To: nwctwx
The hurricane hunter just reported a minimum central pressure of 988 mb about 10 N mi from the North Carolina coast...with 63 kt winds 70 N mi northeast of the center.

The worst weather is in a band to the NE of the center. Folks NE of the Cape Fear landfall need to be on guard for a chance of strong squall and especially a tornado. If you are in that sector, be sure to keep tuned to your local media for an adequate warning of any approaching severe weather.

848 posted on 08/31/2006 8:04:07 PM PDT by dirtboy (This tagline has been photoshopped)
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To: Corin Stormhands

All you have to do is link it.


849 posted on 08/31/2006 8:04:07 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin

Thanks. I just put it on my profile page for now. I'll find another use for it later.


850 posted on 08/31/2006 8:05:26 PM PDT by Corin Stormhands (HHD: Join the Hobbit Hole Troop Support - http://freeper.the-hobbit-hole.net/)
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To: dirtboy
Who knows? The details are not given on the scanner.

I have no respect for a man who cannot hunt and gather enough to keep his own beer supply. Beat a woman off that?

Fire ants, with honey on his unit, on the beach after it dries off.

851 posted on 08/31/2006 8:05:31 PM PDT by don-o (Proudly posting without reading the thread since 1998. (stolen from one cool dude))
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To: bwteim
Thanks.

as far as his track guidance was concerned, he was calling for a mild strike near the junction of FL & its panhandle when others (specifically NHC) were hundreds of miles west of that and MUCH stronger.

He missed the track by well about 50-70 miles, from what I see.

I didn't research exactly who were involved in the conversation with him... just pinged many prominent in these threads.

Anyway, thanks.

852 posted on 08/31/2006 8:06:17 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: Gabz

Gameover...
but the announcer just said 'Redskins 0-4...remember...the last time they finished 0-4 in the pre-season - in 82' - they won the superbowl'


853 posted on 08/31/2006 8:06:27 PM PDT by RDTF ("We love death. The US loves life. That is the big difference between us two.” Osama Bin laden)
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To: dirtboy

Keep up the good work, time to get some sleep!

Tomorrow, just might be a long day.

-t


854 posted on 08/31/2006 8:06:36 PM PDT by onthedancefloort (And We said thereafter to the Children of Israel, "Dwell securely in the land (of promise)": 17-104)
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To: don-o

Local channels reporting idiots around Johnny Mercer pier, taking a look at the storm.

Oh, and a pizza delivery guy!

Can you imagine putting somebody in danger like that so you can have a pizza?


855 posted on 08/31/2006 8:06:57 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin

better him than you! lol :)


856 posted on 08/31/2006 8:07:51 PM PDT by RDTF ("We love death. The US loves life. That is the big difference between us two.” Osama Bin laden)
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To: RDTF
what a wacky storm!

Amen to that. Rare is the tropical storm that fails to intensify over the warm waters of the Florida Straits, the waters that spawned the Great Labor Day Hurricane about the same time of year - but decides to intensify over the Florida Pensinsula just to be a pain in the arse.

857 posted on 08/31/2006 8:08:12 PM PDT by dirtboy (This tagline has been photoshopped)
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To: RDTF

Who is dumber, the driver or the people who ordered it?


858 posted on 08/31/2006 8:08:31 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: All
New thread
859 posted on 08/31/2006 8:08:39 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: RDTF

My deck is COVERED with "debris".........just covered.


860 posted on 08/31/2006 8:08:57 PM PDT by Howlin
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