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The Robots Are Coming!
Forbes.com ^ | 08.18.06 | Elizabeth Corcoran

Posted on 08/21/2006 8:01:26 PM PDT by annie laurie

The robots are on the move--leaping, scrambling, rolling, flying, climbing. They are figuring out how to get here on their own. They come to help us, protect us, amuse us--and some even do floors.

Since Czech playwright Karel Capek popularized the term ("robota" means "forced labor" in Czech) in 1921, we have imagined what robots could do. But reality fell short of our plans: Honda Motor (nyse: HMC - news - people ) trotted out its Asimo in 2000, but for now it's been relegated to temping as a receptionist at Honda and doing eight shows a week at Disneyland. The majority of the world's robots are bolted to a spot on a factory floor, sentenced to a repetitive choreography of welding, stamping and cutting.

No more. In our eighth annual E-Gang (our group of tech innovators to watch), we present the masters of robotic innovation--entrepreneurs and researchers who are fusing advances in biomechanics, software, sensor technology, materials science and computing to create new generations of robotic assistants.

Learning has been key, both for robots and for their designers. Carnegie Mellon's Robotics Institute has been an incubator for much of the current work on robots. Rodney Brooks of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology nudged the whole field forward in early 1990s when he showed how robots could make faster decisions by responding to sensory data from their immediate environment rather than relying on complex sets of rules.

The pioneers we've highlighted in this report work in diverse corners of the robotics arena. Some people have devoted their lives to developing robots, such as Colin Angle and Helen Greiner, who founded iRobot (nasdaq: IRBT - news - people ) with their academic adviser, Rodney Brooks. In the medical world, Russell Taylor has contributed to innovations in surgical robots for decades.

Others are relative newcomers. Sebastian Thrun, from Stanford University, burst into the headlines last year by winning a U.S. Defense Department race of autonomous vehicles through the desert. But he brings with him the legacy of Carnegie Mellon. So, too, does Mark Cutkoski (also of Stanford), who collaborated with an insightful biologist, Robert Full of the University of California, Berkeley. Although Full did not set out to become a robotics expert, his basic research discoveries about how creatures--from cockroaches to people--move has become a cornerstone of much work.

Soren Lund at Lego is helping bring what was once considered esoteric engineering into the hands of enthusiasts everywhere in the world. Yoshiyuki Sankai, at the University of Tsukuba in Japan, proudly continues Japan's long tradition of innovative--and surprising--humanoid robots. And Caleb Chung and his colleagues at the startup UGobe remind us to celebrate the playfulness and creativity that has also been a hallmark of robotics over the years.

The market is still small: $6 billion a year for industrial robots, according to the International Federation of Robots.(That doesn't include the software, peripherals and systems needed to support robots. Add those elements in, and the value of the market jumps to $18 billion.) Data on the size of the nascent business of service robots--robots that clean or protect or entertain--are sketchier, but the growth predictions are dizzying: the IFR, in cooperation with the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe, expects to see 7 million service robots sold by 2008.

In the U.S., the Defense Department has been the big spender for robots, seeking machines that can protect soldiers' lives. But interest is simmering in the venture community--a signal that profits lie ahead. Big players are muscling in, too. In May, Microsoft (nasdaq: MSFT - news - people ) announced that it had a new research program under way, aimed at developing an operating system and software development tools for robots.

Tandy Trower, general manager of Microsoft's robotics group, says robotics today reminds him of the early days of the PC--chock-full of ideas, opportunities and too many different operating systems.

Unlike PCs, however, robots are calling on the ingenuity of people from wildly diverse backgrounds: biologists are teaching robots to move, entertainers are teaching them how to amuse us, statisticians are teaching them when to ignore data, computer scientists are teaching them how to think, and materials scientists are inventing new composites that make them light on their feet.

Robots are about to be unshackled from forced labor. Expect them everywhere.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: ai; robot; robotics; singularity; tech; technology
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1 posted on 08/21/2006 8:01:29 PM PDT by annie laurie
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To: annie laurie

From the above:

In Pictures: 25 Great Moments In Robotics History

http://www.forbes.com/2006/08/17/cx_de_0817robottime.html


In Pictures: Seven Amazing Robots That Will Change Your Life

http://www.forbes.com/2006/08/17/cz_tc_0817egangbots


2 posted on 08/21/2006 8:04:26 PM PDT by annie laurie (All that is gold does not glitter, not all those who wander are lost)
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To: annie laurie

3 posted on 08/21/2006 8:05:01 PM PDT by KoRn
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To: annie laurie

I winder ... had anyone developed a standard robotics operating system that can take modular arm, leg, balance and sensor hardware/software combinations yet?


4 posted on 08/21/2006 8:05:47 PM PDT by Centurion2000 (Islam is a subsingularity memetic perversion : (http://www.orionsarm.com/topics/perversities.html))
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To: annie laurie

That's Mr. Roboto to you........

5 posted on 08/21/2006 8:07:58 PM PDT by edpc (Violence is ALWAYS a solution. Maybe not the right one....but a solution nonetheless)
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To: annie laurie
http://www.forbes.com/2006/08/17/cz_tc_0817egangbots.html

You dropped some HTML code there.

6 posted on 08/21/2006 8:09:26 PM PDT by Centurion2000 (Islam is a subsingularity memetic perversion : (http://www.orionsarm.com/topics/perversities.html))
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To: edpc
Domo arigato for the correction, Sir ;-)
7 posted on 08/21/2006 8:09:35 PM PDT by annie laurie (All that is gold does not glitter, not all those who wander are lost)
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To: Centurion2000
And domo arigato to you, too ... thanks for catching that! Yikes!
8 posted on 08/21/2006 8:11:34 PM PDT by annie laurie (All that is gold does not glitter, not all those who wander are lost)
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To: annie laurie

John Hopkins engineering professor Russell Taylor's star pupil is Da Vinci, a 1,200-pound, $1.5 million set of mechanical arms that help out surgeons doing prostate removals and other procedures. Sleeker, more capable instruments are emerging from his lab.

That is NOT rummaging up my ass!!!

9 posted on 08/21/2006 8:13:25 PM PDT by Viking2002 (How to spot a hypocrite: those who protest first and loudest, are usually the most guilty.)
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To: edpc

Nice teeth on those 'bots.


10 posted on 08/21/2006 8:15:58 PM PDT by poindexter
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To: annie laurie
Call me when they have these ready for sale at the dealers :)


11 posted on 08/21/2006 8:19:11 PM PDT by Centurion2000 (Islam is a subsingularity memetic perversion : (http://www.orionsarm.com/topics/perversities.html))
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To: annie laurie
Robots are about to be unshackled from forced labor.

huh??

12 posted on 08/21/2006 8:20:06 PM PDT by GeronL (flogerloon.blogspot.com -------------> Rise of the Hate Party)
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To: GeronL

"Since Czech playwright Karel Capek popularized the term ("robota" means "forced labor" in Czech) in 1921 ... "

Just a lame joke :)


13 posted on 08/21/2006 8:24:31 PM PDT by annie laurie (All that is gold does not glitter, not all those who wander are lost)
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To: annie laurie

oh.. that makes sense. I know that factoid was somewhere in my head... but no name or country or date was associated with it... probably still won't be


14 posted on 08/21/2006 8:29:23 PM PDT by GeronL (flogerloon.blogspot.com -------------> Rise of the Hate Party)
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To: annie laurie
Personally, I'm holding out for this model:


15 posted on 08/21/2006 8:33:29 PM PDT by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know. . .)
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To: annie laurie

16 posted on 08/21/2006 8:49:13 PM PDT by TUAN_JIM (Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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To: TUAN_JIM

Anybody remember this one?

17 posted on 08/21/2006 8:50:36 PM PDT by Loud Mime (An undefeated enemy is still an enemy.......war has a purpose.)
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To: annie laurie

Do not trust the pusher robot. He is malfunctioning. Shoving is the answer.


18 posted on 08/21/2006 8:55:42 PM PDT by Caesar Soze
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To: annie laurie
Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting
"Freedom is the right of all sentient beings."
19 posted on 08/21/2006 9:03:15 PM PDT by JHBowden (Speaking truth to moonbat.)
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To: annie laurie
They come to help us, protect us, amuse us--and some even do floors.

I, Robot

20 posted on 08/21/2006 9:08:17 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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