Threat Matrix: Daily Terror Threat

Geopolitical Diary: Implications of a Shaky Cease-Fire

Yep, pretty good assessment. What is happening in Israel can easily happen here if we let the liberals take control of our government again.

1,401 posted on 08/16/2006 7:48:52 AM PDT by Godzilla (OK, who stopped payment on my reality check?)

To: freeperfromnj

Sounds like some stupid people.

1,402 posted on 08/16/2006 8:07:10 AM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)

Police Searching for 2 Men in New Haven Harbor

NEW HAVEN, Conn. -- State homeland security and U-S Coast Guard officials are looking for two Turkish seamen who jumped off a ship docked in New Haven harbor.

Coast guard officials say federal agents and New Haven police are also involved in the search.

The pair were reported missing by crew aboard the Turkish merchant marine vessel early this morning, Tsairis said. Their names have not yet been released.

Tsairis says foreign nationals occasionally to attempt to enter the country by jumping ship.

Two years ago, two Turkish men also jumped off a ship docked in the same harbor.

http://www.1010wins.com/pages/69822.php

1,403 posted on 08/16/2006 11:00:11 AM PDT by freeperfromnj

LA Times: Effect of Nuclear Blast at Port Would Be National

A nuclear explosion at the Port of Long Beach would have catastrophic consequences for the United States, killing 60,000 people immediately, exposing 150,000 more to hazardous radiation and causing 10 times the economic loss resulting from the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, according to a long-awaited study released Tuesday.

Two years in the making, the detailed analysis by the Rand Corp.'s Center for Terrorism Risk Management Policy paints a terrifying picture not only of the possibility of such an attack but of its immediate and long-term effects on Southern California, the nation and the global economy.

1,404 posted on 08/16/2006 11:09:34 AM PDT by BurbankKarl

To: Cindy; nwctwx; ExSoldier; Velveeta; DoctorZIn; All

I'm going to be away from my computer until Monday. However, there is a item developing. This should be considered in the context of August 22.

Iranian general: We will soon carry out large military exercise
The serving Iranian General Commander of the Iranian Army, General Muhamad-Reza Ashtiani said, "In the coming days Iran will initiate a large military exercise." This was reported the Iranian news agency Mehr.
In a press conference the general announced that 12 divisions of the land forces will participate in the exercise and that it also include joint exercise of the land, sea, and air forces. During the exercise, that Iranian army will test new weapons and ammunition.

A classical tactic is to stage numerous 'war games' to the point where they seem 'routine'. And spring board off and execute an attack. Egypt and Syria used this to their advantage in the 1973 war against Israel.
Currently there is a lot of shia related disruption of life in Bagdad and Iraq in general. With the recent 'victory' of Hezbollah (a shia outgrowth), Iran may feel that conditions are ripe to conduct a premptive strike on US and Israel to permit unrestricted development of a nuclear capability.

Just a WAG, but a stratigic strike against Israel, in political disarray after the recent fighting, followed up by a ground assault by Syria (who's been removing mines along the Golan Border) and increased Hezbollah activity to pin the Regular IDF forces in place (remember, a large portion of the force used by Israel were Reservists). At the same time, Iran sweeps in and takes control of Iraqi seaports and shuts down the Persian Gulf. The greatest fear is that they may have a nuclear device and choose to use it as well.

I think Israel could handle Syria, since the Air Force would provide adequate interdiction against conventional Syrian forces while IDF ground forces respond, but it could get real ugly fast. If there is a WMD strike against Israel, it is uncertain if Olmert has what it takes to order a counter strike against Syria and / or Iran, given his waffling on Hezbollah. It may be this reluctance and indecision that they are going to count on.

The situation in Iraq would also be touchy. A shia uprising and (temporary) control of the Gulf would make matters difficult for the US and Gulf allies. We do have an abundance of carriers in the Pacific, but it would take a week or more for them to respond. In the mean time Iraq could become quite chaotic. IIRC, one of the key Majhd sites is in Iraq and with Iran's apolyptic leadership could tie that in as well.

Hopefully I'm over reacting, but the way things have been developing it is better to be over prepared than under.

1,405 posted on 08/16/2006 1:08:33 PM PDT by Godzilla (OK, who stopped payment on my reality check?)

To: BurbankKarl; Cindy; Velveeta; LucyT; Domestic Church; freeperfromnj; Godzilla; ExSoldier; ...

Tunnel Drug Lord, Assassins Arrested (CA/Mexico - 8/16/06)

Feds Move Against Tijuana-Based Arellano-Felix Gang (AP) WASHINGTON Federal drug agents arrested Mexican drug lord Francisco Javier Arellano-Felix, a leader of a major violent gang responsible for digging elaborate tunnels to smuggle drugs under the U.S. border, a Justice Department official said Wednesday.

The federal law enforcement official added that Arellano-Felix, 37, was captured by Drug Enforcement Administration agents, aided by the U.S. Coast Guard, on Monday while he was deep sea fishing off the coast of Mexico's Baja California peninsula...

Link to Article

1,406 posted on 08/16/2006 1:11:03 PM PDT by all4one (Israel has a right to defend itself against those who have declared their desire to destroy it.)

To: MamaDearest; StillProud2BeFree; All

Can you tell my WHY Americanized Muslim girls still wear the headscarf with tight jeans/short tight shirts etc...

1,407 posted on 08/16/2006 1:37:20 PM PDT by JustPiper ("I have one voice, one vote to make a difference.")

To: Oorang; Godzilla; All

HOMELAND INSECURITY

Taxpayers fund Islamic center
Prayer building on Marine base not really mosque, officials say

http://www.wnd.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=51534
________________________________________________

U.S. braces for waves of sky terror suspects
Predicts 1,000s will get past no-fly-list airport screening

http://www.wnd.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=51539
___________________________________________________
Israel loses Lebanon war

WND Jerusalem bureau chief says Olmert restrained IDF 'at every turn'

http://www.wnd.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=51519
___________________________________________________

Why Israel lost

http://www.wnd.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=51552

1,408 posted on 08/16/2006 1:41:31 PM PDT by JustPiper ("I have one voice, one vote to make a difference.")

London-to-D.C. Flight Diverted for Unruly Passenger With 'Note Referencing Al Qaeda' (Update: Reports of Note Denied)

http://www.michellemalkin.com/

1,409 posted on 08/16/2006 1:43:43 PM PDT by JustPiper ("I have one voice, one vote to make a difference.")

1,410 posted on 08/16/2006 1:45:18 PM PDT by JustPiper ("I have one voice, one vote to make a difference.")

NYC Releases More Sept. 11 Calls
List Includes 10 Unreleased 911 Messages From World Trade Center

http://wcbstv.com/national/topstories_story_228010652.html

1,411 posted on 08/16/2006 1:48:06 PM PDT by JustPiper ("I have one voice, one vote to make a difference.")

To: freeperfromnj

the guys photographing Sears tower was innocent also until later when they admitted that Sears was a target

1,412 posted on 08/16/2006 1:49:22 PM PDT by JustPiper ("I have one voice, one vote to make a difference.")

To: freeperfromnj

The 16th is a date I had and then we get to deal with Ramadan again

1,413 posted on 08/16/2006 1:52:52 PM PDT by JustPiper ("I have one voice, one vote to make a difference.")

To: Jill St Claire

1,414 posted on 08/16/2006 1:53:21 PM PDT by JustPiper ("I have one voice, one vote to make a difference.")

http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/local/281443_terminal17ww.html?source=rss
'Port terminal evacuated
Bomb squads are responding to Terminal 18 on Seattle's waterfront after a canine bomb team found possible explosives in a container'

1,415 posted on 08/16/2006 1:54:04 PM PDT by TWhiteBear

That makes several stories happening today

1,416 posted on 08/16/2006 1:57:57 PM PDT by JustPiper ("I have one voice, one vote to make a difference.")

1,417 posted on 08/16/2006 2:03:54 PM PDT by JustPiper ("I have one voice, one vote to make a difference.")

To: All; JustPiper

Seattle - Port terminal evacuated over possible bomb
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1684893/posts

1,418 posted on 08/16/2006 2:05:23 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)

LONDON (AP) A judge has ruled that 23 suspects in foiled British terror plot will be kept in custody through next week.

1,419 posted on 08/16/2006 2:09:08 PM PDT by JustPiper ("I have one voice, one vote to make a difference.")

That's good. Hopefully they won't let them go next week.

1,420 posted on 08/16/2006 2:19:01 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)

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