It appears the big Mexico City Obrador vote has been counted. The non-PAN voters in the rest of the country seem to like PRI to a greater degree than the M.C. voters. The drop in Calderon's share has slowed, and the share increase for Obrador has turned around. I have the feeling we've seen the closest margin, with it hitting .89, and we'll now see it back over one shortly and headed upwards toward your predictions, though I still think it'll be a bit tighter than predicted.
Looks like you're going to hit the PRI prediction right on the nose.
You're correct about Mexico City being in.
Torie's projections have been pretty much the same from the start, and I haven't seen much variation between the by state and Torie's by region projections since I began tracking the numbers about an hour ago.
My projections are just straight line interpolations of each Mexican state's vote, added together. I have no way of knowing if some Mexican state is like Pennsylvania, where the Republican vote tends to come in late, or like Michigan, where Detroit always seems to hold out for the Democrats.