You're correct about Mexico City being in.
Torie's projections have been pretty much the same from the start, and I haven't seen much variation between the by state and Torie's by region projections since I began tracking the numbers about an hour ago.
My projections are just straight line interpolations of each Mexican state's vote, added together. I have no way of knowing if some Mexican state is like Pennsylvania, where the Republican vote tends to come in late, or like Michigan, where Detroit always seems to hold out for the Democrats.
|
|
Actual | Actual % |
|
Projected (by State) | Projected % |
| Calderon | 12,027,087 | 37.08% |
|
15,069,094 | 37.33% |
| Dinosaur | 6,546,019 | 20.18% |
|
8,340,765 | 20.66% |
| Socialist | 11,693,441 | 36.05% |
|
14,259,447 | 35.32% |
| New Alliance | 319,515 | 0.98% |
|
396,826 | 0.98% |
| Alternative | 975,658 | 3.01% |
|
1,188,486 | 2.94% |
| Write-in | 240,097 | 0.74% |
|
304,755 | 0.75% |
| Null Votes | 637,414 | 1.96% |
|
808,102 | 2.00% |
| Total | 32,439,231 |
|
|
40,367,474 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Precincts Reporting | 103,429 |
|
|
|
|
| Total Precincts | 130,788 |
|
|
|
|
| PR% | 79.08% |
|
|
|
|
Or like in Illinois where the Democrats gain 100,000 votes when the graveyard returns come in.