|
Actual | Actual % |
|
Projected (by State) | Projected % |
Calderon | 11,731,606 | 37.11% |
|
15,133,394 | 37.38% |
Dinosaur | 6,325,822 | 20.01% |
|
8,317,810 | 20.55% |
Socialist | 11,431,713 | 36.17% |
|
14,322,984 | 35.38% |
New Alliance | 310,914 | 0.98% |
|
397,388 | 0.98% |
Alternative | 959,070 | 3.03% |
|
1,200,532 | 2.97% |
Write-in | 233,515 | 0.74% |
|
306,281 | 0.76% |
Null Votes | 616,201 | 1.95% |
|
805,140 | 1.99% |
Total | 31,608,841 |
|
|
40,483,529 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Precincts Reporting | 100,370 |
|
|
|
|
Total Precincts | 130,788 |
|
|
|
|
PR% | 76.74% |
|
|
|
|
It appears the big Mexico City Obrador vote has been counted. The non-PAN voters in the rest of the country seem to like PRI to a greater degree than the M.C. voters. The drop in Calderon's share has slowed, and the share increase for Obrador has turned around. I have the feeling we've seen the closest margin, with it hitting .89, and we'll now see it back over one shortly and headed upwards toward your predictions, though I still think it'll be a bit tighter than predicted.
Looks like you're going to hit the PRI prediction right on the nose.