Naming the vulnerable Democrats
The magic number for a Democrat take over of the House is a net pick up of 15 seats. If you think the Democrats will win those 15 seats I’ve got a bridge in Brooklyn I’d like to talk to you about.
Here are the Democrat House members who are in danger.
Brad Miller, won with 59% in North Carolina, but has a few pro illegal and anti family far left positions that will be a problem against a strong conservative Black Republican.
John Barrow, won with 52% in Georgia one of the strongest Republican states in the country.
Jim Marshall won with 63% in Ga., but has called for Bush's impeachment if reelected. Putting the president's political life on the line could be a problem in Ga.
Chet Edwards, won with 51% in Texas as state that has been increasingly hostile to Democrats.
Stephanie Herseth, won with 53% by default in South Dakota, a strong Republican state.
Charlie Melancon, won with 50% in Louisiana a fairly strong Republican state.
Melissa Bean, won with 52% in Illinois and has been identified by the Democrats themselves as one of their most vulnerable members.
Alan B. Mollohan West Virginia. Yes he was reelected with 68%, but he is quickly becoming the Justice Department’s poster boy for corrupt Congressmen. He will have big trouble explaining away an 11 million dollar improvement in his personal wealth since 2000. Micheal Barone's Almananac of American Politics rates his district as a GOP +6. If Mollohan resigns, this should be a Republican pick up.
Thanks. Very, very helpful.
You can't just look at the state. Both Brad Miller and John Barrow represent Democrat-leaning districts despite residing in Republican-leaning states. Neither of them is likely at risk this year, and Vernon Robinson is not generally taken seriously.
I don't think Herseth drew a Republican challenger, amazingly enough.
The others you listed are all vulnerable this year unless the Democrats do extremely well nationwide.