However, I know this list is inaccurate, since it does not include the race against 8-term incumbent, Charles Taylor (D, NC 11th), in Tier 1. Taylor has mounting legal and ethical problems, and lost 20% of the vote in his primary to a "little-known" and "lightly-regarded" neophyte challenger, namely me. The first poll after the primary shows him losing to Democrat Heath Shuler, a one-time football player. Taylor is under investigation by the FBI concerning the Abramoff and other matters, and may be indicted before the general election.
The Republicans are highly likely to lose this District, which is slightly Democrat by registration, but contains many Zell Miller Democrats who normally vote Republican at the national level -- House, Senate and President.
The only real chance the Republicans have to hold this District is to dump Taylor -- forcing him out like the national Democrats did to Senator Robert Torricelli in New Jersey in 2004. If Taylor is dumped with more than 60 days to go before the election, and replaced with a strong Republican (like me), the Republicans can hold this District. Absent that, this District will probably fall into the Democrat column in November.
See article and note below for more information on the NC 11th District.
P.S. My primary is over, but because of certain legal and ethical problems, the incumbent, Charles Taylor may withdraw/be forced out, and I am in the running to be chosen as the replacement nominee for Congress in the 11th District of NC. For more information, see the article below, and my website. I still need your help.
Congressman Billybob
John, I don't understand. If a DEM (Taylor) now has the seat, how can this be a Republican "loss?" And how can you be named his replacement if it is a DEM?