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President Tancredo? Just Maybe, If You Believe This Poll
Human Events Online ^
| 04/27/06
| Robert B. Bluey
Posted on 04/27/2006 3:17:35 PM PDT by VU4G10
A new poll from Rasmussen Reports has some bad news for Republicanswell, almost all Republicans. If youre Rep. Tom Tancredo (R.-Colo.), the news couldnt be better.
While a generic Republican candidate trails a generic Democrat by 12 percentage points, according to the poll, a third-party candidate who runs on a get-tough-on-immigration platform not only beats the Republican, but also actually runs even with the Democrat. Heres an excerpt:
The survey also asked respondents how they would vote if "a third party candidate ran in 2008 and promised to build a barrier along the Mexican border and make enforcement of immigration law his top priority."
With that option, support fell sharply for both major parties. The Democrats still come out on top with support from 31% of Americans. The third party candidate moved into a virtual tie at 30% while the GOP fell to 21%.
If anyone fits Rasmussens description its Tancredo, who has made a very public name for himself as the anti-illegal-immigration crusader in Congress. And having spent time in both Iowa and New Hampshire beginning last year, hes posited himself to be the candidate who could play spoiler.
Coming back to reality for just one moment, I should note the rest of the Rasmussen commentary about the poll numbers:
This result probably reflects unhappiness with both parties on the immigration issue rather than a true opportunity for a third party. Historically, issues that drive third party candidates get co-opted by one of the major parties as they demonstrate popular appeal. Most Americans favor a barrier along the border and enforcement of existing law prior to other reforms.
With the immigration issue candidate as an option, 36% of conservative voters opt for the Republican candidate while 35% take the third party option. Among political moderates, 34% pick the Democrat while 32% prefer the third party option.
Id recommend reading the full Rasmussen summary as well as my post last night about the new Diageo/Hotline poll on Democrats.
TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: circularfiringsquad; donnerparty; friendsofhillary; onetrickpony; singleissuevoters; tancredo2008; unappeaseables
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To: skeeter; sinkspur
Illegal immigration is SO unimportant you feel the burning need to jump on every such thread poo-pooing anyone with an opinion different than your's. Indeed. Reminds of a line Spencer Tracey delivers to Katherine Hepburn in that classic film "Woman of the Year," where Tracey declines a wedding invitation from Hepburn in order to cover a story, because "It's kind of important, in an unimportant sort of way." The converse with sinkie: "Illegal immigration is kind of unimportant, in an important sort of way...." ;)
101
posted on
04/27/2006 5:08:25 PM PDT
by
Map Kernow
("I hold it that a little rebellion now and then is a good thing" ---Thomas Jefferson)
To: Scribbz; Cobra64
You are arguing about nothing.
I believe that Scribbz was saying that being called a racist wouldn't bother him, since he is married to a woman of Mexican descent. (Notice he DIDN'T say Mexican-American, placing Mexico in the IMPORTANT slot.)
Shake hands and make up, boys. :)
102
posted on
04/27/2006 5:13:21 PM PDT
by
Politicalmom
(If fences don't work, why is there a fence around the White House?)
To: sinkspur
Aren't different opinions welcome on these immigration threads?Absolutely - especially your's.
What I am trying to say is I think you're being, er, less than honest when you say you think this issue is 'no big deal'. In fact, in spite of you party-line guys always tossing it off I think the issue has fairly got your panties in a wad.
103
posted on
04/27/2006 5:14:59 PM PDT
by
skeeter
To: Politicalmom
I love your line about the White House fence. Maybe since fences don't work, they should just remove that fence at the WH and let everyone in. I'm sure the President would happily pay to clothe, feed, educate and medicate any and all comers. /slight sarcasm
To: sinkspur
Name calling again?
To: Politicalmom
106
posted on
04/27/2006 5:20:42 PM PDT
by
spikeytx86
(Pray for Democrats for they have been brainwashed by there fruity little club.)
To: skeeter
What I am trying to say is I think you're being, er, less than honest when you say you think this issue is 'no big deal'.I look at polls, and at the last 20 years. Immigration has not been a voting issue.
In fact, in spite of you party-line guys always tossing it off I think the issue has fairly got your panties in a wad.
LOL!!! You guys are the ones who are screaming for Bush's head because he won't back HR 4437. Not me.
107
posted on
04/27/2006 5:24:25 PM PDT
by
sinkspur
(Things are about to happen that will answer all your questions and solve all your problems.)
To: Jarhead1957
Name calling? I'm sorry if you object to "good ole boy." Are you a bad ole boy? Maybe you're a bad ole girl?
108
posted on
04/27/2006 5:26:23 PM PDT
by
sinkspur
(Things are about to happen that will answer all your questions and solve all your problems.)
To: sinkspur
>>>>>You guys are the ones who are screaming for Bush's head because he won't back HR 4437. Not me.________________________________________________________
109
posted on
04/27/2006 5:30:06 PM PDT
by
Reagan Man
(Secure our borders;punish employers who hire illegals;stop all welfare to illegals)
To: Map Kernow
Interesting statistics, but you know what they say about statistics.
110
posted on
04/27/2006 5:32:23 PM PDT
by
altura
(Bushbot No. 1 - get in line.)
To: Jarhead1957
Sorry, but even in Texas you got a dadgum ranch!!
111
posted on
04/27/2006 5:34:07 PM PDT
by
altura
(Bushbot No. 1 - get in line.)
To: VU4G10
Tom Tancredo, the Bull Moose of 2008?
He doesn't look much like one, does he? Maybe a rough-rider hat would do the trick.
To: sinkspur
I started to answer you, but with your child like way, it would be a waste of time.
Your about page is empty, mine is not. if you look you will see I was doing my part when you were probably still wetting three corner pants.
To: altura
Interesting statistics, but you know what they say about statistics. Anything like what they say about ignorance? But it won't be "bliss" for GW and the GOP this fall if they ignore this issue.
114
posted on
04/27/2006 5:40:45 PM PDT
by
Map Kernow
("I hold it that a little rebellion now and then is a good thing" ---Thomas Jefferson)
To: demkicker
Hey, lemme buy you a beer. How about a long-neck?
If I gave the impression that I think this is a non-issue, I did not mean to. I think it is very important.
In spite of my tagline, I do not agree with the President on this issue. I do trust him, though, and feel that he has reasons he considers valid for his position.
We've always admired Bush for not governing by polls, but now suddenly, we want him to do just that.
I just hope we get as good a man next time.
As for your wish list, dittos to everything on it!!!
But Bush is on the right side of almost everything you named except this one thing.
This issue is important. Hey, I hear you. But why is it suddenly a crisis??
But maybe the public panic will do some good; change some minds and so on.
I'm just not sure I'll vote for Tancredo and I certainly won't vote for a third party candidate, no matter who.
Being from Texas, I'm sure you remember Dallas Billionaire H. Ross Perot, who gave us 8 years of Mr. Clinton.
115
posted on
04/27/2006 5:40:45 PM PDT
by
altura
(Bushbot No. 1 - get in line.)
To: skeeter
I think you're right. People were talking about it in the old coffee shop at breakfast, and I mean people who never talk politics.
Those parades were the worst possible thing the illegals could have done.
116
posted on
04/27/2006 5:42:07 PM PDT
by
altura
(Bushbot No. 1 - get in line.)
To: Reagan Man
Since when is FR representative of any opinions but those of FR members?
117
posted on
04/27/2006 5:47:02 PM PDT
by
sinkspur
(Things are about to happen that will answer all your questions and solve all your problems.)
To: sinkspur
Immigration has not been a voting issue.As dense as they are, I'm sure the party hacks will be muttering this same line even after November.
118
posted on
04/27/2006 5:48:47 PM PDT
by
skeeter
To: Jarhead1957
Your about page is empty, mine is not. if you look you will see I was doing my part when you were probably still wetting three corner pants. Thank you for your service to the country and for your years in law enforcement. I have two sons who are police officers.
We all serve in different ways, Marine. If it makes you feel better to belittle me, I can handle it.
119
posted on
04/27/2006 5:50:41 PM PDT
by
sinkspur
(Things are about to happen that will answer all your questions and solve all your problems.)
To: sinkspur
Since when is FR representative of any opinions but those of FR members? Why do you go to the trouble of posting here then? What makes you come sneering into this little unrepresentative microcosm of opinion, especially on such a trivial issue (according to your lights) as immigration?
And since when are your posts representative of any opinions but those of party hacks?
120
posted on
04/27/2006 5:56:25 PM PDT
by
Map Kernow
("I hold it that a little rebellion now and then is a good thing" ---Thomas Jefferson)
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