Now where are all those GOPers in FL who insisted that Mrs. Harris could beat Nelson if everyone got behind her and pushed? Certainly, 22 points is a lot to overcome, but it can be done. The question is: How in Hell does one do that? She will draw a lot of fire because of her role in 2000 Presidential Election. Democrats will come out to vote against her in droves.
If you believe in Quinnipac we'd have President Horseface. 22 points in Quinnipac translates to about 4-6 points in Rasmussen. Who do you believe more?
Nelson beat McCollum. There ain't no way he's going to lose to Harris. Florida is pretty much a 50-50 state on a state race level, as evidenced by the Bush squeaker in 2000 and the Martinez squeaker in 2004. If you're down 22 points in a state that has a 50-50 partisan split, you aren't doing very well.
b) Every incumbent tends to have a huge advantage this far out---Santorum a big exception.
c) Nelson has shut up for the past 6 months. Can he keep quiet for another 6? He puts his foot in his mouth every time he talks.