Canada |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Other |
2006 Actual Results | 36.3% |
30.2% |
17.5% |
10.5% |
- |
5.6% |
2006 SES/CPAC | 36.4% | 30.1% | 17.4% | 10.6% | 5.6% | - |
2006 4-Poll Average |
37.1% |
27.8% |
18.7% |
11.3% |
5.1% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 Election Results |
29.6% |
36.7% |
15.7% |
12.4% |
4.9% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2006 Actual Seats |
124 |
103 |
29 |
51 |
0 |
1 |
democraticSPACE 2006 Seat Prediction |
128 |
94 |
29 |
56 |
0 |
1 |
Election Prediction Project 2006 Seat Prediction |
118 |
104 |
29 |
56 |
0 |
1 |
LISPOP Final 2006 Seat Projection |
140 |
78 |
33 |
56 |
0 |
1 |
Ipsos Reid/Global Final 2006 Seat Prediction |
150 |
64 |
36 |
58 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seats after 2004 Election | 99 |
135 |
19 |
54 |
0 |
1 |
Atlantic Canada |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Other |
2006 Actual Results | 34.5% |
39.9% |
22.7% |
- |
3.6% |
- |
SES/CPAC | 29% | 44% | 22% | - | 5% | - |
2006 4-Poll Average |
32.8% |
39.0% |
24.6% |
- |
3.2% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 Election Results |
30.0% |
43.8% |
22.6% |
- |
3.0% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2006 Actual Seats | 10 |
19 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
democraticSPACE 2006 Seat Prediction |
11 |
18 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Election Prediction Project 2006 Seat Prediction |
8 |
21 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
LISPOP Final 2006 Seat Projection | 12 |
16 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seats after 2004 Election |
7 |
22 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Quebec |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Other |
2006 Actual Results | 24.6% |
20.7% |
7.5% |
42.1% |
4.0% |
- |
SES/CPAC | 27% | 19% | 8% | 42% | 3% | - |
2006 4-Poll Average |
25.1% |
14.9% |
8.5% |
47.1% |
3.9% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 Election Results |
8.8% |
33.9% |
4.6% |
48.9% |
3.2% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2006 Actual Seats | 10 | 13 |
0 |
51 |
0 |
1 |
democraticSPACE 2006 Seat Prediction | 6 |
12 |
0 |
56 |
0 |
1 |
Election Prediction Project 2006 Seat Prediction |
3 |
15 |
0 |
56 |
0 |
1 |
LISPOP Final 2006 Seat Projection | 9 |
9 |
0 |
56 |
0 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seats after 2004 Election |
0 |
21 |
0 |
54 |
0 |
0 |
Ontario |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Other |
2006 Actual Results | 35.1% |
39.9% |
19.4% |
- |
4.7% |
- |
SES/CPAC | 36% | 38% | 20% | - | 6% | - |
2006 4-Poll Average |
36.5% |
35.6% |
21.8% |
- |
5.6% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 Election Results |
31.5% |
44.7% |
18.1% |
- |
4.4% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2006 Actual Seats | 40 |
54 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
democraticSPACE 2006 Seat Prediction | 44 |
49 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Election Prediction Project 2006 Seat Prediction |
41 |
55 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
LISPOP Final 2006 Seat Projection | 51 |
40 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seats after 2004 Election | 24 |
75 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Prairies |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Other |
2006 Actual Results | 45.7% |
24.3% |
24.7% |
- |
3.6% |
- |
SES/CPAC |
47% |
25% |
23% |
- |
5% |
- |
2006 4-Poll Average |
45.8% |
24.0% |
24.5% |
- |
5.0% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 Election Results |
40.4% |
30.3% |
23.4% |
- |
2.7% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2006 Actual Seats | 20 |
5 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
democraticSPACE 2006 Seat Prediction | 20 |
4 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Election Prediction Project 2006 Seat Prediction |
19 |
4 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
LISPOP Final 2006 Seat Projection | 20 |
6 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seats after 2004 Election | 20 |
4 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Alberta |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Other |
2006 Actual Results | 65.0% |
15.3% |
11.7% |
|
6.6% |
- |
2006 4-Poll Average |
64.1% |
15.3% |
13.0% |
- |
7.0% |
- |
SES/CPAC | 55% |
18% |
19% |
- |
7% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 Election Results |
61.7% |
22.0% |
9.5% |
- |
6.1% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2006 Actual Seats | 28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
democraticSPACE 2006 Seat Prediction | 28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Election Prediction Project 2006 Seat Prediction |
28 | 0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
LISPOP Final 2006 Seat Projection | 28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seats after 2004 Election | 26 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
British Columbia |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Other |
2006 Actual Results | 37.3% | 27.6% |
28.6% |
- |
5.3% |
- |
SES/CPAC |
34% |
36% |
23% |
- |
7% |
- |
2006 4-Poll Average |
34.8% |
31.0% |
28.2% |
- |
5.7% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 Election Results |
36.3% |
28.6% |
26.6% |
- |
6.3% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2006 Actual Seats | 17 |
9 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
democraticSPACE 2006 Seat Prediction | 19 |
9 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Election Prediction Project 2006 Seat Prediction |
19 |
6 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
LISPOP Final 2006 Seat Projection | 20 |
7 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seats after 2004 Election | 22 |
8 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
Territories |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Other |
2006 Actual Results |
23.4% |
40.8% |
20.0% |
- |
3.7% |
- |
2004 Election Results |
18.0% |
44.4% |
28.7% |
- |
4.2% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2006 Actual Seats | 0 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
democraticSPACE 2006 Seat Prediction | 0 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Election Prediction Project 2006 Seat Prediction |
0 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seats after 2004 Election | 0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
As a sidebar, the Tories picked up 2 seats in 905. Greg Morrow of Democratic Space projected a 7 seat Tory pickup. In the 2 seats he was right about, the result was close, and in the 5 seats he was wrong about, the result was not close at all. That SES poll showing a fat Liberal lead at the end, and a 5% swing to the Liberals in the last two or three days, appears to have been right.
Atlantic Canada |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Other |
2006 Actual Results | 34.5% |
39.9% |
22.7% |
- |
3.6% |
- |
SES/CPAC | 29% | 44% | 22% | - | 5% | - |
2006 4-Poll Average |
32.8% |
39.0% |
24.6% |
- |
3.2% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 Election Results |
30.0% |
43.8% |
22.6% |
- |
3.0% |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2006 Actual Seats | 9 |
20 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
democraticSPACE 2006 Seat Prediction |
11 |
18 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Election Prediction Project 2006 Seat Prediction |
8 |
21 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
LISPOP Final 2006 Seat Projection | 12 |
16 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Seats after 2004 Election |
7 |
22 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |