[HostileTerritory]

The majority of births in France are Muslim.

No one has any data on how many births in France are to Muslims, because the country keeps no records on religion or national origin. The best estimate now is that there are, I think, 6 million Muslims in a country of about 60 million. Muslims have larger families than Christians and there are fewer old Muslims, but not enough to take their numbers up to 50 million in the next 20-30 years, which is what it would take for them to become a majority.

[tlj18]

The "white French" are also dying faster than they are being born. Almost all of Europe (and Russia) is like that. Plus you have lots of illegal immigration into France.

Of course, no one knows precisely how many Muslims are in France, because of their insane politically-correct policy.

[AuH2ORepublican]

If France's population is 60 million today, then it won't be much more than 80 million in 30 years, since the French just aren't reproducing very much anymore. And most of that growth will come from immigration, which will likely continue to come mostly from Algeria. I think there might be as many as 40 million Muslims in France in 2036, which would be 50% of the population but still far less than 50% of the electorate since so many Muslims would be below 18. Even if the immigration rate slows down a bit in the short-term (obviously Muslim immigrants in the next couple of years will have a far greater effect on France's population than Muslim immigrants 25 years from now), I think France will have a Muslim majority in around 50 years.

But the first Western European country to have a Muslim majority will be the Netherlands, where already a majority of children are born to Muslim parents.