electionprediction.org has always lowballed the Conservative chances; probably because most of their contributors are left-leaning. Try
democraticspace.com where they have the Tories at 128 and the Liberals at 94. I think that's closer to the truth.
The betting in the Canadian markets is the same as Ipsos' last poll: a strong Conservative minority. That hasn't changed in the last several days. If the Liberals do pull off an upset tomorrow, a lot of investors stand to lose money on the outcome.
(Denny Crane: "I Don't Want To Socialize With A Pinko Liberal Democrat Commie. Say What You Like About Republicans. We Stick To Our Convictions. Even When We Know We're Dead Wrong.")