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To: Soul Seeker
The fact is that the Dems cannot breach 49% of the vote,

They don't have to -- because of the design of the Electoral College. The candidate has to get the majority in only enough states to total a majority of Electoral Votes.
652 posted on 01/16/2006 10:49:16 AM PST by TomGuy
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To: TomGuy

You mentioned totality of votes. That is why I brought up that they do not own the majority opinion of the country and haven't since Carter's first election. How does this translate to electoral politics? It makes it difficult for them to line up enough states to win the electoral collage. The two are connected. An election can be won without the popular vote, not by much still doable, but it's a much harder road. Especially when the majority of states lean conservative in sympathy.

There are good reasons Democrats are skittish about Hillary's chances to take a "red" state. Because the makeup of popular opinion leans majority conservative, it makes electoral politics a bit easier road for Republicans. The majority of states reflect this majority opinion.

Again, Dems road to W.H. is one of two-

1) Perceived moderate/conservative Southern Governor (Carter, Clinton--Warner?)

2) Disenchanted conservative base of the Republican Party sitting out or voting third party if the candiate isn't liked. In this scenario Hillary, Gore or kerry could win. Any Liberal could conceivably win.


670 posted on 01/16/2006 10:59:39 AM PST by Soul Seeker (Mr. President: It is now time to turn over the money changers' tables.)
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