Hmmm. I think I'll go make a name for myself and write a thesis supporting the "10 to the 499th" perspective.
So you figure 10500 universes is just too danged many, eh? (smile)
Not really. It could be more. We could be the only one.
I was just making a sarcastic remark about how scientists pluck numbers from the air and then try to back them up. Estimates from the "Population Bomb," which was considered fairly accurate science when it was written, come to mind.