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Wilsongate: Motive, Means, and Opportunity
Original FReeper research | 11/21/2005 | Fedora

Posted on 11/21/2005 2:28:31 PM PST by Fedora

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To: ScaniaBoy

Thanks much for tracking down that article! I think I did skim that article once but didn't pick up on that aspect of it.


81 posted on 11/22/2005 10:48:32 AM PST by Fedora
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To: ravingnutter
Thanks!--I was looking forward to hearing what you got out of it :-) I did only scratch the surface of Cannistraro's background and possible involvement. He was up to a bunch of stuff throughout the 1990s which I feel need review to put him in perspective. I'm very curious about his relationship to MacMichael in particular.

On Oil-for-Food links, I had a whole section on that I cut out of the final draft due to length/readability considerations. I will try to sum that up separately sometime.

On your analysis of the forgeries and other Niger reports, you may find the reproductions on these links useful to review if you haven't seen them:

http://cryptome.org/niger-docs-lr.htm

http://cryptome.org/niger-docs.pdf

http://cryptome.org/niger-docs2.htm

http://cryptome.org/niger-docs3.htm

82 posted on 11/22/2005 11:00:23 AM PST by Fedora
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To: MilleniumBug

I understand the State Department conducted an internal review of Glaspie's actions during the build-up to the Gulf War. I don't know what the findings were with regards to Wilson, but I'd sure like to find out. He wasn't exactly promoted to Secretary of State before he left State for the NSC and retired at the age of 48.


83 posted on 11/22/2005 11:05:49 AM PST by Fedora
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To: ravingnutter
According to some reports, Jeff Castelli, the Station Chief in Rome, also saw the documents, supposedly courtesty of SISME, but did not recieve a copy. He wrote a synopsis in memo form and passed it to Greg Thielmann in the NSA.

Interesting. "According to some reports", though--do we have a source on that? Cannistraro was saying something like that about Castelli and I'd want that from a source independent of him (since I don't trust him as far as I can throw him). It'd make sense that Thielmann saw those early reports, though, so that sounds plausible.

84 posted on 11/22/2005 11:09:26 AM PST by Fedora
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To: SuziQ

Hi! :-)


85 posted on 11/22/2005 11:11:29 AM PST by Fedora
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To: Fedora

I think this qualifies you as a PhD in Wilsongate.

Seriously, you have assembled an almost dizzying case for your thesis. Moreover, it puts in one place a comprehensive accounting of the facts surrounding this bogus effort to nail Bush and the administration. My hat is certainly off to you. I plane to read this thing from start to finish. Thank you for the great effort.

Cautor


86 posted on 11/22/2005 11:12:03 AM PST by Cautor
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To: Cautor
I think this qualifies you as a PhD in Wilsongate.

That's almost scary--I think that means I know more about Joseph Wilson than I ever wanted to, LOL.

Thanks, Cautor! :-)

87 posted on 11/22/2005 11:17:58 AM PST by Fedora
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To: Fedora

I think you know more about Joe Wilson than he knows or anyone else for that matter. I expect Libby's legal counsel would like a copy of this.

Great work. I've saved it for a complete reading.


88 posted on 11/22/2005 11:19:46 AM PST by Cautor
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To: Fedora
On Oil-for-Food links, I had a whole section on that I cut out of the final draft due to length/readability considerations.

Yup...this thing has so many connections to so many other scandals, it is hard to keep under control. Every time I want to post info I keep having to remember which Word file I put the info in (was it "Rove"? Was it "Cannistraro"? Was it "My Theory"?), it's driving me crazy, LOL! Your info is a great resource for anyone that has not kept up to speed on this. Thanks for all your work!

89 posted on 11/22/2005 11:21:28 AM PST by ravingnutter
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To: Fedora

Apart from oil-for-food, one other thing you should include is that there is some connection between uranium production and gold mines (something to the effect that uranium is or can be a by-product of gold mining?), which potentially further amplifies the connection between Wilson's business dealings and the possible French aspiration to serve as Saddam's covert uranimum supplier. Once again, sorry I don't have the link, but it's something I read somewhere on FR.


90 posted on 11/22/2005 11:29:20 AM PST by DrC
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To: Fedora

I'm going to read the whole thing when I get a chance, but do you have a one paragraph "elevator pitch."


91 posted on 11/22/2005 11:33:48 AM PST by nickcarraway (I'm Only Alive, Because a Judge Hasn't Ruled I Should Die...)
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To: ravingnutter

It sounds like your filing woes are similar to mine, LOL.


92 posted on 11/22/2005 11:36:08 AM PST by Fedora
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To: nickcarraway; Fedora

"Joe Wilson is a traitor"

;)


93 posted on 11/22/2005 11:37:51 AM PST by mosquitobite (As the Iraqis stand up, we will stand down.)
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To: Fedora
Here are a few sources which cite a La Repubblica article (which of course is in Italian):

The first instalment gives a detailed account of the origins of the documents (or most of them, my note) up to the autumn of 2001 when Nicolò Pollari passed the false SISMI dossier to Rome CIA station chief, Jeff Castelli. In a previous diary I had alluded to the possible role of Castelli in the Nigergate scandal. Castelli wrote a report and forwarded it to the Greg Thielmann's Bureau of Intelligence which eventually dismissed this first report as unfounded.

Source

It is a known fact that a report on the bogus, made-in-Rome dossier ended up at the State Department's Bureau of Intelligence—in the Office of Strategic, Military and WMD Proliferation Affairs.

Strategic Affairs is not a big place. At the time, 16 analysts worked there under the direction of Greg Thielmann. Thielmann tells La Repubblica: I received the report in fall of 2001. We thought that Langley had acquired it from their field officer in Italy. The agent in the field reports that Italian intelligence permitted him see some papers documenting the attempt by Iraq to acquire 500 tons of uranium ore from Niger.

Source

I know I saw a better source on this, however, will see what I can find. I don't like sourcing from moonbat sites blaming the Italians, LOL!

94 posted on 11/22/2005 11:43:06 AM PST by ravingnutter
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To: DrC; paperjam; piasa
I didn't include that explicitly because in the research I did I wasn't able to find a direct connection between the COGEMA uranium consortium and any gold mining companies linked to Wilson, but I did mention some of the companies I looked at in the hope someone can connect some dots I overlooked. Here are some relevant snips. From a previous post:

In 1999, French intelligence had begun investigating the security of uranium supplies in Niger, where uranium production was controlled by a consortium led by the French mining company COGEMA, a division of the French state-owned nuclear energy firm AREVA.

From the current post:

Alamoudi was a member of the Saudi-Ethiopian Alamoudi dynasty, which was heavily invested in the segments of the African economy Wilson was seeking to penetrate. The Alamoudi oil empire, centered around the Saudi-based company Delta Oil, included African ventures such as Arab-African Petroleum Company (ARAPCO), created in 2002 to buy oil concessions in Africa and develop them with foreign partners.40 Alamoudi investments in African telecommunications included a Pan-African telecommunications project launched in 2001 by Pan African Communications Network (PACONET) with financing from a fund chaired by former South African President Nelson Mandela and cofinanced by the International Finance Corporation (IFG), the American International Group (AIG, a group including the Houston-based company El Paso Energy Corporation), and the African Development Bank (ADB).41 Alamoudi investments in African gold included MIDROC Gold Mine Private Limited Company, a subsidiary of the Alamoudi company MIDROC (Mohammed International Development Research Organization & Companies) launched in 2003.

SNIP

Although Wilson does not identify his clients who had an interest in Niger gold investments, it may be observed that during the time frame referenced by his comments, the first gold mine in Niger, known as the Samira Hill Gold Project, was being developed by a pair of Canadian-based companies, Etruscan Resources and Semafo.

Something I had in a previous draft of the current post which I think I may have cut out in the editing process is that COGEMA and AREVA's management overlapped with the management of TotalFinaElf. If there's a connection I'd expect it'd be there.

95 posted on 11/22/2005 11:50:07 AM PST by Fedora
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To: nickcarraway
The "Motive" section of the article is summarized in this paragraph:

In summary, Wilson’s words, actions, and associations suggest three distinct but related motives for his behavior:

1) A business motive for his two trips to Niger.

2) A foreign policy motive, shared by his business associates, for opposing the War on Iraq.

3) A partisan political motive, shared by foreign opponents of the war and elements of the Democratic Party, for trying to unseat Bush and Blair.

The "Means" section is summarized in its opening paragraph:

If Wilson’s motive was to help the perpetrators of Operation Nigergate and the Rockefeller Plan unseat Bush and his allies, the next question to be tackled is, by what means did Wilson and his accomplices attempt to carry out their coup? In the realm of public relations at least the assassination weapon of choice is the poison pen, which is mightier than the sword, so the selected means of attack was a propaganda campaign against Bush, targeting his case for war. For purposes of analysis and discussion, this propaganda campaign can be broken down into four phases:

1. Developing antiwar talking points.

2. Planting the forgery.

3. Publicizing the forgery.

4. Mop-up: Publicizing the alibi.

The first two phases began prior to Wilson’s activation in Phase 3, where he came to center stage.

This is the gist of the "Opportunity" section:

The evidence considered so far verifies that: 1) With respect to motive, Wilson explicitly expressed an intent, motivated by disagreement over Middle Eastern and Iraq policy, to use the Niger forgery controversy to bring about Bush’s impeachment as well as Tony Blair’s downfall; and

2) With respect to means, Wilson had potential access to information from inside sources about the Niger forgeries, as well as actual access to media outlets to publicize this information.

Did Wilson also have actual opportunity to channel inside information? Data which help answer this question has already been assembled in the course of prior discussion, but it remains to address the question directly, and to address Wilson’s alibi.

SNIP

A review of Wilson’s statements prior to his July 6, 2003 New York Times article reveals no less than six occasions where Wilson or someone quoting him stated or implied he had inside knowledge of the Niger forgeries. . .

SNIP

According to Cannistraro’s account, he had to call a contact at CIA headquarters to get information about the forgeries. So how was it that a day after ElBaradei went public, in response to an inquiry about a Washington Post article asked by a CNN reporter who just “happened by” and just happened to be doing an investigation of the forgeries, Joseph Wilson just happened to be there at the scene suggesting, as he characterized his comments in his book, “that if the U.S. government checked its files, it would, I believed, discover that it knew more about the case than the spokesman was letting on”?

I hope that helps!

96 posted on 11/22/2005 11:57:32 AM PST by Fedora
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To: ravingnutter

Thanks! I think some of that may be alluded to in the Senate report on prewar intelligence, minus the names of the personnel involved, so we might try crossreferencing against that for corroboration.


97 posted on 11/22/2005 12:08:00 PM PST by Fedora
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To: edpc

bttt


98 posted on 11/22/2005 12:11:07 PM PST by Txsleuth (9/11NEVER FORGET-NEVER SURRENDER, Sam Johnson, a REAL hero!)
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To: Fedora

We've missed you in the Hobbit Hole. How are ya doin?


99 posted on 11/22/2005 1:07:11 PM PST by SuziQ
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To: sauropod

mark


100 posted on 11/22/2005 1:09:02 PM PST by sauropod ("The love that dare not speak its' name has now become the love that won't shut the hell up.")
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