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To: austinite
Mansell urged reformers to look at the past -- The Tax Reform Act of 1986 proved that when the tax benefits associated with real estate ownership are curtailed, the value of real estate declines. In this case, the resulting loss of value in the commercial real estate sector was 30 percent, he said.

That was the proximate cause of the S&L crackup.

Now they want to do it again.

5 posted on 11/02/2005 6:04:41 AM PST by thulldud (It's bad luck to be superstitious.)
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To: thulldud

so thulldud, should i max out all my mortgages, conserve the cash, then buy for pennies on the dollar when washtingtoon crashes the economy? hey, this tax reform might just work for me after all, lol.


8 posted on 11/02/2005 6:08:40 AM PST by son of caesar (son of caesar)
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To: thulldud
That was the proximate cause of the S&L crackup.

Actually, that was only a small part of the story. The primary cause of the S&L crisis was the steep decline in interest rates in the 1980s, coupled with Federal mortgage regulations that prohibit banks from charging fees to customers who wish to refinance their mortgages.

Back when interest rates were high in the early 1980s, you had lots of people locking in long-term rates of 12% or more on things like 5-year CDs. This was not a problem because banks were charging 16% or more on their mortgages. But when interest rates declined dramatically after that, everyone with a fixed-rate mortgage went out and refinanced for a much lower rate. So banks were basically screwed, because they were getting rates of around 8% on their loans but still had to pay out 12% on their long-term certificates of deposit. There's no way anyone could stay in business for long under those conditions.

The problem corrected itself as those long-term CDs reached maturity and the long-term interest rates paid out to customers were more in line with the lower long-term rates the banks were charging on their loans.

I know it's hard to have any sympathy for banks, but they basically operate under one very onerous condition in which every mortgage they underwrite is a fixed-rate mortgage when rates are rising (since customers will not refinance a mortgage to pay a higher rate) but a variable-rate mortgage when rates are falling (since customers can't be penalized for refinancing).

15 posted on 11/02/2005 6:20:11 AM PST by Alberta's Child (I ain't got a dime, but what I got is mine. I ain't rich, but Lord I'm free.)
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