Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part IV

NHC - NOAA ^ | 24 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Category Three Major Hurricane Wilma is barreling toward the Southwest Florida coastline. The storm is packing wind speeds of 125mph, moving NW at 20mph, with an enormous eye 65 miles in diameter. Landfall is anticipated shortly in Collier County between 6:00 and 7:00AM ET.

Storm surge flooding of 9 feet to 17 feet is possible along the coast near and to the south of where Wilma makes landfall. Storm surge of 5 to 8 feet is predicted for the Keys. The storm has spawned tornados throughout the Florida peninsula since yesterday evening.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Radar Still Image w/watches warnings
Melbourne Radar Still Image w/watches warnings
Key West Radar Still Image w/watches warnings
Tampa Bay Radar Still image w/watches warnings

Streaming Video:

WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Additional Resources:

Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24

[Caipirabob]

Thanks all. I don't how the rest of you are holding up. I only partially slept last night. My first clue that it was a fitful sleep was in the above post when I almost wrote "How many of you have power outages and where are you?". After that I went for a second cup.

[jeffers]

They'll keep re-routing until they run out of options.

[steveegg]

Looks like she turned a bit east. Haven't seen official yet, but the turn spared Andy Cooper over on Marco Island.

[NautiNurse]

Keeps bouncing back here too. I'm noticing a pattern. Electricity flickers off about 15 seconds before a solid wind gust is heard.

[jeffers]

Laptops with spare batteries and wireless/cell access, no worries, you're on it.

[twin2]

Checking in from Miami Lakes in northwest dade county. Power is out now after going in and out for the last hour. I managed to get a pot of coffee made. Local news is saying we may get some of the worst weather, with the bands around the southern eye wall brushing us.

Dogs are freaked out and I may have to save the computer battery and power down for a while. Mr. Twin2 gave in and put down all the rollodin shutters so we are stuck until the power comes back after the storm.

God speed to all in the path.

[Moonman62]

The rain has started. Lots of green transformer flashes. I'd say gusts are 60+ now.

[NautiNurse]

lol - but lots of us have backup power.

[steveegg]

A tired wreck here.

[jeffers]

It's almost to the southernmost of the 4 tracks in the iage posted earlier. Couldn't ask for any better landfall point given the projections we had for days now. If Marco Island has a chance, this is it.

[Nita Nupress]

If I lose power again for good, Godspeed to everyone being impacted by this.

This is probably too late for you to read it, but if not, please know that we'll be thinking about all of you while you're out of power. If there aren't many deaths, the news people will move on to the next story and we won't get much news about you. But just remember we're still thinking about you guys, waiting for you to get back with us.

Oh, and if you still have power and you're interested, go here and print this to read while you're waiting for your electricity to come back on. We can swap stories when you get back online. :-) Stay safe!!

[NautiNurse]

Official Landfall location Cape Romano on the Collier/Monroe County line.

[Nita Nupress]

Oh, you still have power! Do you have a generator?

[Caipirabob]

Well all, I'm signing off. After the last surge I figure I'm turning off any faragile components. I'll be back on generator power after the storm but that won't be until after it clears up. Hang in there everyone!

[publiusF27]

Conditions in Punta Gorda, FL at 6:34 am are fair to partly hurricany, with raging gusts making sleep difficult.

[piperpilot]

Eye wall reported to be right over Marco. Not good at all. The worrying about my folks has given me a migraine.

[steveegg]

Landfall Vortex Data Message -

265 
URNT12 KNHC 241034
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 24/10:14:30Z
B. 25 deg 48 min N
  081 deg 46 min W
C. 700 mb 2669 m
D. NA  kt
E.     deg     nm
F. 182 deg 086 kt
G. 103 deg 025 nm
H.         951 mb
I.  13 C/ 3049 m
J.  14 C/ 3048 m
K.  12 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C60
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 /  3 nm
P. AF302 2524A WILMA        OB 21
MAX FL WIND 122 KT SE QUAD 09:59:30 Z
MAX FL TEMP 15 C, 98 / 22NM

[NautiNurse]

Thank you for the local update. Godspeed, and keep us posted when you can.

[steveegg]

And the designation -

WTNT64 KNHC 241033
TCUAT4
HURRICANE WILMA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
630 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005

AT 630 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA MADE LANDFALL VERY
NEAR CAPE ROMANO FLORIDA.  THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 20 MILES WEST OF
EVERGLADES CITY FLORIDA.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT LANDFALL WERE
ESTIMATED TO BE 125 MPH...A STRONG CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE.

FORECASTER PASCH

[NautiNurse]

Hang in there...Godspeed. The next several hours are the worst with the communication blackout. Keep the faith.