Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part III (TS Alpha gets honorable mention too)

NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Wilma slowly drifts toward the Southeast Gulf of Mexico after relentlessly pounding Cozumel and Cancun for more than 24 hours. Early reports indicate extensive wind and flood damage to Mexico's resort-studded Mayan Riviera. Mexican officials said about 20,000 tourists were at shelters and hotels on the mainland south of Cancun and an estimated 10,000-12,000 were in Cancun itself. About 50 hotels were evacuated.

In preparation for Hurricane Wilma's anticipated Florida landfall, a Hurricane Watch and mandatory evacuation have been issued for the Florida Keys and Florida Bay. Mandatory evacuations for Marco Island and much of Naples are in effect, as well as high surf advisories and high risk of rip currents along Florida's panhandle and Big Bend coasts. Bus services are available for Monroe Co. and other counties for residents who do not have transportation. Additional storm watches for the Florida peninsula are expected later today.

The 2005 hurricane season altered the record books again today with the formation of Tropical Storm Alpha south of Hispanola. Preliminary forecasts indicate TS Alpha will not affect the U.S. mainland.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video:

WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Additional Resources:

Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24

[MissP-38]

Barney Rubble and Bam-Bam

[jeffers]

Thanks. I'll play aound with that and see what happens after Wilma does whatever it's going to do.

[laz]

Florida watches have now become warnings.

[dawn53]

Laz,

Do me a favor and look at this link (it's big and takes time to load) and tell me if that front that was supposed to come down and turn her right doesn't seem to dissapate a bit toward the end of the loop.

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?wv_east_enhanced+48+-update+3600

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane watches are upgraded to hurricane warnings for Florida...

Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours and Wilma could again become a major hurricane on Sunday. Movement toward north near 3 mph. Maximum sustained winds 100 mph. Minimum central pressure 959 mb.

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane watches are upgraded to hurricane warnings for Florida...

Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours and Wilma could again become a major hurricane on Sunday. Movement toward north near 3 mph. Maximum sustained winds 100 mph. Minimum central pressure 959 mb.

[Prolifeconservative]

"I swear these are the longest NHC advisories in their history."

It's a record-breaking year for even the advisories!

[exhaustedmomma]

I know it took 4 or 5 days before she quit looking like a yo-yo HERE.

[tiredoflaundry]

It's gonna be a long day tomorrow.

[NautiNurse]

We're under a TS Warning now...

[blam]

"Silly...that storm would track directly to Mobile, AL."

"It would be appropriately named Blam Blam."

Nope, too cold here. We have a forecast of 37 degrees Monday morning...that's five degrees from freezing, folks.

I'm on dial-up and they have been working on my phone lines since Katrina. There's so much noise, static, humming etc that I've been trying to get on-line since 4:00pm and I just made it.

[NautiNurse]

Local news just suggested we make a last sweep of the property for loose objects tonight. Be back in a bit.

[tiredoflaundry]

That I know! I pray that's the "worse" warning we get!

[laz]

It does seem to dissipate. But they're still expecting her to turn and start moving toward us soon.

I've been watching the visible floater all day, and for the past few hours, she's already been shifting NNE, even though they keep saying her movement is to the north. It looks like a drift in anticipation of the actual turn.

[varina davis]

So are we, NautiNurse, about 60-70 miles N of you in Citrus County. Getting a tad concerned now.

[blam]

"Update from The Weather Channel: The resort town of Playa del Carmen has been destroyed."

Geez...I used to take the ferry across from Cozumel and make landing there and drive on inland and do my own archaeological searches...lots and lots of undiscovered stuff on the Yucatan.

[U S Army EOD]

Might be a lot of new, old stuff get washed up on this. You might want to consider going back down there the first chance you get.

[oceanview]

wow, if that model in green materializes - new england is in for some trouble, especially cape cod and the islands.

[jeffers]

She's 9.7 miles NE of the projected (1000 Saturday) 2200 point, a few mph low on sustained winds, and less than 2.2 miles off the course track.

Accelerating a bit now, come 1000 Sunday, she'll turn onto her projected base course, really speed up, and tomorrow by ten pm, she'll be up near top speed. Supposed to pick up another 5 knots by 1000 tomorrow too.

Here we go.

[SouthTexas]

Prayers for all of you in Florida, looks like it's time to duck!