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Locked on 10/24/2005 2:24:18 AM PDT by Jim Robinson, reason:
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Posted on 10/22/2005 1:25:10 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Wilma slowly drifts toward the Southeast Gulf of Mexico after relentlessly pounding Cozumel and Cancun for more than 24 hours. Early reports indicate extensive wind and flood damage to Mexico's resort-studded Mayan Riviera. Mexican officials said about 20,000 tourists were at shelters and hotels on the mainland south of Cancun and an estimated 10,000-12,000 were in Cancun itself. About 50 hotels were evacuated.
In preparation for Hurricane Wilma's anticipated Florida landfall, a Hurricane Watch and mandatory evacuation have been issued for the Florida Keys and Florida Bay. Mandatory evacuations for Marco Island and much of Naples are in effect, as well as high surf advisories and high risk of rip currents along Florida's panhandle and Big Bend coasts. Bus services are available for Monroe Co. and other counties for residents who do not have transportation. Additional storm watches for the Florida peninsula are expected later today.
The 2005 hurricane season altered the record books again today with the formation of Tropical Storm Alpha south of Hispanola. Preliminary forecasts indicate TS Alpha will not affect the U.S. mainland.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image
Streaming Video:
WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Additional Resources:
Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24
As if the tornadoes weren't bad enough. Wilma's been a very bad girl.
I've been listening to our local cable Channel 13- the weather guy has been giving an excellent tutorial- I'm very impressed.
Greta is in Naples- looks like Marco is really going to get hit hard. Lot of people haven't evacuated.
149 southwest of Key West
She must be pickingh up some forward spped
Was 170 southwest just less than an hour ago
Just went out on my upstairs deck, estimating 50-60- mph suystained with gusts up to 70 or more
Infrared radar looks like it may be strengthening a bit too.
OH Well
I won't be sleeping tonight. I'll give you all the blow by blow descriptiuon till I lose power.
Gazoo, if you're gonna zap her, do it now.
Part of the difference is rounding on the NHC's part, part of it is I'm using the far-southwest point of land. In any event, she's speeding up right on schedule.
Tornado spotted in Brevard south of Titusville.
And I suggest dry ice.
Why did Dr. Steve Lyons on TWC say that Cat 3 starts at 115 mph? The threshold is 111. And Wilma's there now.
Stop calling Wilma a witch. Don't you know it's very foolish to insult Mother Nature? Retribution can be a bitch!
Looking at the short-range Key West radar loop (I can now see half the eye on that), looks like you're going to get the right-side eyewall. Good luck, and may your feet stay on dry ground.
The NHC rounds to the nearest 5 mph, and since Cat 3 starts at 111, they'll say 115 if they're going with Cat 3.
Because forecast windspeeds go in 5mph increments. Wilma is at 110 mph now. If she is bumped up, it will be to 115 mph, not 111 mph.
So Lyons is correct within the forecasting framework.
on previous threads it has been helpful for those in the path to post locations in the tagline
Got a roof off in Coco- quite a bit of damage in the area of Titusville, Rockledge area.
My thoughts and prayers are with all my FRiends in Florida... May Wilma pass you by! :o)
unconfirmed report of a tornado 528 & 95 Cocoa moving north toward Titusville 9:45 PM
ZCZC MIATCEAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE WILMA TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005 AT 10 PM EDT...0200Z... THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS ESTIMATED BY THE NOAA DOPPLER RADAR IN KEY WEST FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES... 210 KM... WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 180 MILES... 290 KM... SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA. RECENT DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND FROM THE NOAA DOPPLER RADAR IN KEY WEST FLORIDA INDICATE WILMA IS VERY NEAR CATEGORY THREE...OR MAJOR... HURRICANE STRENGTH. IF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EYEWALL CONTINUE TO PERSIST AND REMAIN WELL ORGANIZED... THEN WILMA WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE 11 PM ADVISORY. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS... AND ARE NOW WITHIN 40 MILES OF THE SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST. FORECASTER STEWART
POLK COUNTY FLORIDA UNDER A TORNADO WARNING UNTILL 10:30 PM
Thanks.
Hurricane Wilma Has Strengthened Again
Recon found flight level winds of 114kts. If thunderstorms in the eyewall continue to persist and remain organized, then she will be upgraded to Category Three status in the 11:00PM update. The center of Hurricane Wilma is about 130 miles west of Key West, and about 180 miles SW of Naples.
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