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Posted on 10/18/2005 7:40:22 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Yeah, the 900MB was based on satellite presentation and was definitely premature. The measured and current real pressure is indeed 894MB
Er, make that 892; they "updated" the vortex data message to include a direct measurement. The 894 that was previously there was based on an extrapolation from 700 mb.
eh, 892MB :)
A track map of the current major runs is here (same link as up at the top of the thread)
wilma's record breaking (or tying):
Wilma made history before hitting land. It is the 12th hurricane of the season, the same number reached in 1969, the highest since record-keeping began in 1851. It is also the 21st named storm, tying the record set in 1933.
Early Tuesday, Wilma was only a tropical storm with wind of 70 mph. With wind more than 100 mph faster by the same time Wednesday, it had shown the most rapid strengthening ever recorded in a hurricane, said Hugh Cobb, a meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
Add to that the lowest pressure ever recorded.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20051019/ap_on_re_us/wilma_florida
Somebody slap both anchors over at TWC. This less-than-15-minute change from an estimate to an extrapolation to a direct measurement done at the same time as the extrapolation does not, repeat NOT necessarily represent a re-strengthening.
Superstorm in New England? Tell me more...
BTTT cuz I'd like to know too...
I figure that when the storm makes its right turn, Friday morning or so, that's when we'll have high confidence in the track prediction, where it will land.
Thanks. The maps I was looking at weren't showing what janet had said, but now they are.
I haven't been to the link you posted, thanks.
Recall that Mitch became a Cat 5 in 1998 about this time in the Western Caribbean and then stalled just off Honduras.
Are BAMD, BAMM, and GFDL all showing junk runs, or could this be significant? Also, looks like the extrap is more westerly than before.
My daughter made it through Hugo in Cancun. At that time they didn't even tell the tourists it was coming until it was too late. Fortunately, that policy has changed now.
a 1 nm wide eye?.....if someone told me that before i would of said that was impossible
Ever see The Day After Tomorrow?
Look at the earth's northern most parts on this map
http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
Almost every storm we've had it's been like that.
You got me. Dirtboy just pointed out that Mitch did what the GFS-based models are showing. We'll see what the NHC says in something less than 2 hours.
Nope. Should I burn the couple hours to watch its constant running on the HBO/Cinemax family?
1 nm eye? I've heard of tornadoes wider than that. Of course, they didn't have a huge mass of clouds wrapping themselves around them.
It's a really good movie! Suspense, some action, and we "think" we heard one bad word. One could say it's an attempt to scare us about global warming but it's a great movie, it will get you on the edge of your seat in several spots.
Yes. And then went flying through the upper Keys as a tropical storm or cat one, I forget which. I could hear the thunder and see the skies lighting up from my house in South Dade.
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