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Posted on 10/18/2005 7:40:22 AM PDT by NautiNurse
OMG, where have you been? We can't TAKE anymore rain. Sunday alone, we got three inches in one day! The rain started week-end before last and hasn't quit. The skies look to unleash more rain even today. The ground is so wet and we have been under flood watches.
If that hurricane comes up here, it will mean big trouble. And the damn in Taunton, Mass will go for sure. It's been a real mess up here in New England.
I can't make heads or tails of the dropsonde obsrevation reports, but there's a fresh one out there (sent out at 2:01).
I am sorry I don't know of any place. I would think that the building concierge or maintenance might have an idea of any place inland. I'll ask around thought. Glad your mom is not here. There is concern being expressed about surge from this storm.
Thank you for your good thoughts - I am heading out of here tomorrow. Thankfully I had already made travel plans.
Call the police department and explain the situation. They will be able to tell you where you can legally park a car during the storm, i.e. shopping mall parking lot, etc.
Then maybe one of her neighbors or the condo manager can get it moved to that location.
If it's not a sanctioned area for relocating cars, they'll tow it away to an impound lot.
427 URNT12 KNHC 191822 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 19/18:06:20Z B. 17 deg 24 min N 083 deg 23 min W C. 700 mb 2149 m D. 75 kt E. 29 deg 008 nm F. 111 deg 128 kt G. 023 deg 002 nm H. EXTRAP 894 mb I. 12 C/ 3058 m J. 20 C/ 3028 m K. 15 C/ NA L. CLOSED WALL M. C4 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF300 0824A WILMA OB 11 MAX FL WIND 128 KT N QUAD 18:05:40 Z SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB
Please, explain this more for me! Thanks!
My colleague actually flew with one crew. She said they strapped her in like a fighter pilot!
Weather Underground just went belly-up on me.
Now the latest GFDL model, updated UTC 17:25 10/19, has Wilma hitting Yucatan then doing an about-face and heading toward Cuba, possibly missing FL altogether. GFDL at GMT 11:26 had her going across Lake Okeechobee. What is this??
The latest GFS shows no such thing.
However, the GFDL, and the BAMD (both GFS-derived models) do show Wilma spending an extended amount of time over the Yucatan and sort of slowly drifting east, to south of Cuba; both models only run out 5 days and at 5 days the storm is still south of W Cuba heading nowhere in particular.
I wonder if she was spinning too tight and fast to be picked up by the trough.
It could be a hiccup; none of the 12Z models depict this except the GFDL; the 18Z BAMD (based on the 12Z GFS) depicts it as well, but both the BAMD and GFDL are based on the GFS, but the 12Z GFS does not depict this scenario.
That wouldn't prevent any storm from being picked up by a trough.
What website are you viewing these on?
Hopefully we don't have that New England superstorm. That would be devastating.
I wonder if the trough is swooping in faster than expected, and the models aren't sure how to handle it and are "thinking" it may block Wilma's entrance into the GOM?
Meanwhile, the UKMET has come off the Yucatan Peninsula and onto the track previously predicted by the GFDL and essentially in line with the current official track (the previous UKMET run ran Wilma for a Yucatan vacation then into the northwest corner of the Everglades), the oft-confused NHC90 is off the map, and the left-leaning LBAR shifts to the north of Tampa/St. Pete (NN won't like that one one bit).
I, for one, am "praying" it doesn't... may not be scientific but... hoping!!!!!!!!!!!
448 URNT12 KNHC 191822 CCB VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 19/18:06:20Z B. 17 deg 24 min N 083 deg 23 min W C. 700 mb 2149 m D. 75 kt E. 029 deg 008 nm F. 111 deg 128 kt G. 023 deg 002 nm H. 892 mb I. 12 C/ 3058 m J. 20 C/ 3028 m K. 15 C/ NA L. CLOSED WALL M. C4 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF300 0824A WILMA OB 11 CCB MAX FL WIND 128 KT N QUAD 18:05:40 Z
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