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Posted on 10/18/2005 7:40:22 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Wilma has formed in the NW Caribbean Sea. The NHC forecast indicates she will emerge into the Gulf of Mexico as a major Category Three storm. Current forecase models indicate a Florida peninsula landfall.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
892 mb.Unbelievable.
Did Rita or Katrina get that low?
Nope.
000 106 URNT12 KNHC 190648 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 19/06:11:10Z B. 16 deg 58 min N 082 deg 11 min W C. 700 mb 2132 m D. NA kt E. NA deg nm F. 202 deg 168 kt G. 109 deg 003 nm H. EXTRAP 892 mb I. 10 C/ 3058 m J. 24 C/ 3034 m K. 11 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. C2 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF308 0724A WILMA OB 12 MAX FL WIND 168 KT SE QUAD 06:10:20 Z SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB
No. Gilbert was the lowest as I recall at 888 mb. Not too far to go. Wow.
Holy cow! (again)
They just said on The Weather Channel that Wilma's eye is 2 miles across.
But you know what worries me even more? I wonder what next year is going to be like.
Forgot to mention that in my significant changes post. We've now gone from an 8 nm eye to a 4 nm eye to a 2 nm eye.
Talk about a pinhole! No wonder she's so intense.
Well, if she keeps this up, Wilma will break another record: first hurricane with an eye narrower than Ted Kennedy.
Actually, she already broke that one; The Swimmer is 2.5 nm wide :-)
Unless this one's aimed at Castro, this ain't Rove's doing.
I wonder what next year is going to be like
1933 was as active as this year but the following year it was relatively quiet so hopefully not too bad. I say that with all of the optimism a FL Panhandler can muster.
My sentiments exactly, Laz -- I'm leaving Louisiana ASAP. I don't intend to be around for next year's hurricane season!
I'll posit that 1933 was busier. They didn't have satellites and hurricane-hunter planes back then, so unless a hurricane blasted onto land where people were or a ship blundered into it, nobody knew.
Can't be Rove. It must be those Japanese gangsters. Looks like they got the hang of it now.
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