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Posted on 10/18/2005 7:40:22 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Wilma has formed in the NW Caribbean Sea. The NHC forecast indicates she will emerge into the Gulf of Mexico as a major Category Three storm. Current forecase models indicate a Florida peninsula landfall.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Looks like the innermost eye has collapsed on the latest sat photo.
The trough modeled to pick up the storm is just coming onshore in the pacific northwest. It should be initialized better by everything tonight as real data comes in. It will progress across the U.S. Canadian border until it is infused with more energy diving out of Canada. The main issue here is that it is a little slower than forecast, so the storm will be able to progress further west in the short term.
Once the trough gets infused, a decent low should form near the Great Lakes (the reason for New England speculation after FL is the fact that this low would try to make the storm rotate around itself); either way, this will push the energy to the Gulf by early next week at the latest. So, at some point the storm will get pulled... the main question is when.
well at least they picked a hurricane name that the chick (Joyce) on the weather channel can pronounce.
"What howible weathew we awe having. Hoowicane Wilma will certinwee cause twouble in Fwowida this weekend"
Nice having their EEOE/Quota employee during the busiest time of the news day. Between her and Alexandra "Cat woman" Steele with her new nosejob and eye lift, the weather channel has turned into a freak show.
LOL! I got into the 300's also....
I'm north of you in Clay County. Been thinking of a steel roof. How about the cost as compared to a conventional one? Is it much greater? Have you noticed any difference in the insulation factor? Did you put it right over the old roof?
Sorry for all the questions but I'd rather get answers from experienced owners than a salesman.
Thanks.
That's scary stuff. I wonder though... it says we are not prepared. What can we do to prepare for something like that?
The chance that it will actually get picked up to the point that it thrashes NE seems pretty slim...it almost never, ever happens.
But, this year seems to be a year for repeating history and making it with hurricanes.
"I had to reconcile myself with chasing tornados on the ground ... lol."
If I hadn't got married and had kids, I'd probably be doing that myself. The best I was able to manage was storm spotting for the NWS through Skywarn. I actually saw some rotation that ended up as a small tornado that touched down near Nine Mile Nuclear power plant. I wish I could have got it on video.
things rotating around within, rings, spots, mesovortex, this one is something to be studied...
smacking the penguin give us something to do while waiting for FR to load. Hopefully FR will not crash right in the middle of a hurricane thread.
His column has been free nearly every day this past week, though.
I though that the low that just left Calif is suppost to give Wilma a push to the east? or it will now have no effect
I still say that they should hire Garrett Morris to do weather for the hard of hearing.
Funny!
A weekend trip to visit scenic Georgia would not be a bad idea
Realisticly, if you are within 10 miles of the shore, it would be a good idea
Considering the power outages Florida got when Katrina ambled thru on its way into the gulf, visiting relatives up north might be a good idea regardless. But whatever you do, do it before the highways turn into parking lots
I deleted my copy and I honestly miss it. LOL
Good shooting.
May the 29 be with you, or at least a 6,6,4,4 with a nickel cut.
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