So far, all major damage reported has been east of a line from Beaumont to Lufkin. I expect the shape of the damage swath to resemble a quarter circle stretching right and south from Nacodoches, or some point yet to be determined NW of there.
Reports from deep into Louisiana, well east of the Texas border, would help define the extent of that area.
Looks like 9th ward is getting very close to equalizing water level with canal . . .
I imagine this would be consistent with the western side of the eyewall. How wide was the eye at landfall? 30 miles? That would put the eastern edge around Lake Charles.
The damage swath should be like a path carved by a 30 mile-wide F2 tornado coming ashore between Beaumont and Lake Charles.