I understand but if it the eye passes through those points it's gonna hit Western Louisiana. My point is Galveston and Houston are gonna be OK.
Bastardi on Fox now
you don't know that. it's heading straight for Galveston.
I understand but if it the eye passes through those points it's gonna hit Western Louisiana. My point is Galveston and Houston are gonna be OK.
No, you're still reading it wrong. Those proabilities say that there's a chance of a wobble that'll take it close enough to the LA coast as it cruises WNW that there's 15% odds it'll pass within 65NM of New Orleans, etc., but that's NOT saying that it'll make landfall there. And the reason the Texas probabilities look low compared to the offshore LA probabilities is that it's pretty much CERTAIN to pass through certain sections of the Gulf, because it's almost on top of those locations already, while there's more of a "spread" in the places it might end up 24 and 48 hours from now, so their individual probabilities are lower, even though their combined probability (i.e. the probability that it'll hit *somewhere* on the Texas coast) is almost 100%.