accuweather guy - not bastardi- says it will likely strengthen in the next report but it probably won't be a cat 5 when it hits land. 50-60 miles south of galveston.
storm surge higher than sea wall.
downtown houston will be devastated if this changes just a bit in the track.
18Z GFDL has followed the NGP and GFS North; NGP and GFDL both landfall in the precise location of the 1900 storm, GFS a tad more N directly up Galveston Bay.