[Strategerist]

They are saying it's about 15 miles north of the NHC track already, which, all other things being equal at this distance, translates to a 100 mile shift (northeastward) up the coast. It's potentially a big deal.

Almost all storms exhibit a trochoidal (like a sine wave) wobble, sometimes with a quite long period (each wobble lasting 6-12 hours).

One problem with EasternUSWx is it's heavily populated by Northeastern Winter Snow weenies with fairly limited knowledge of the tropics.

That said, the beginnings of turns are indistinguishable from wobbles.

[Prolifeconservative]

Excellent info there......THANKS!

[ContemptofCourt]

That site (as well as storm2k) is also populated by high school kids who fancy themselves to be mets (floydbuster is one glaring example). You need to really know the credentials of the posters on those sites before and take what is posted in context.

[mcshot]

Thanks for giving me an idea of what "weenie" means over there.

mc