City Management in Galveston will call for evacuations very early (smart), lots and lots of people to get out. Local news is say cat 1 maybe 2. We in the area are more concerned about intensity then exactly where land fall is.
That's just absurd. It may be Cat 2 by the time it hits Key West.
With nothing but hot water and no unfavorable winds after it enters the gulf, there's absolutely no reason to think it would hit the coast as a Cat 1 storm.
That's truly odd, as NHC has landfall in Texas at Cat 3 and it very easily could be higher than that.