[dawn53]

Well, you'll get a lot of info and interpretation of forecasting predictions if you stay tuned to this thread.

Yes, tracks, in the beginning, and with unknown factors (like when high pressure ridges will change, etc.) are often hard to forecast this far out and the models will be all over the chart.

Here's a good blog to read, it's from http://www.wunderground.com

the guy give insights that are practical and easy to understand

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

[NautiNurse]

613
URNT12 KNHC 191021 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/10:08:20Z
B. 22 deg 46 min N
074 deg 29 min W
C. 850 mb 1416 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg 000 nm
F. 044 deg 055 kt
G. 311 deg 035 nm
H. 997 mb
I. 14 C/ 1519 m
J. 20 C/ 1524 m
K. 17 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF300 0318A RITA OB 20 CCA
MAX FL WIND 64 KT N QUAD 09:19:50 Z

[shield]

Here in Houston one of our weather guys is giving us a heads up big-time because the ridge is forecast to move east.