[nwctwx]

0z Euro interesting... It hasn't done so well this storm, but there are a couple decent models showing the storm coming up the coast still. The 0z GFS has shifted much further west in regards to the northeast, and the NOGAPS still targets Southern New England. Several, myself included, had speculated that water temps in the Northeast could allow for one or two hits later in the season (now-October). This is a pretty strong depiction of a low on a global model.

Friday Map (ECMWF):

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Ophelia Advisory Number 20
Statement as of 5:00 am EDT on September 11, 2005

 
...Ophelia slightly stronger but remains stationary...
...Little movement expected today...

At 5 am EDT...0900z...a portion of the Hurricane Watch area from
Savannah River South Carolina northeastward to Edisto Beach South
Carolina has been discontinued.

 
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the southeast coast of the
United States from north of Edisto Beach South Carolina
northeastward to Cape Lookout North Carolina.  The Hurricane Watch
may have to be shifted northward later today.  A Hurricane Watch
means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch
area...generally within 36 hours.

 
Interests elsewhere in the southeastern United States coastal region
should monitor the progress of Ophelia.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 5 am EDT...0900z...the center of Hurricane Ophelia was located
near latitude 31.7 north... longitude 75.9 west or about 250
miles... 405 km... east-southeast of Charleston South Carolina and
about 245 miles... 390 km...south of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.

 
Ophelia is stationary and is expected to remain nearly stationary
today.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph... with higher gusts.
Ophelia is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  30 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 150 miles.

 
Estimated minimum central pressure is  978 mb...28.88 inches.

 
Repeating the 5 am EDT position...31.7 N... 75.9 W.  Movement
...Stationary.  Maximum sustained winds... 85 mph.  Minimum central
pressure... 978 mb.

 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 8 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 11 am
EDT.

 
Forecaster Knabb