Hurricane Ophelia Live Thread, Part II (Update: Ophelia expected to remain Cat 1 storm)

NHC - NOAA ^ | 10 Spetember 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Ophelia continues to churn off the off the coast of the Carolinas with a track that has confounded computer models and meteorologists for days. Hurricane watches are issued for much of the SC and NC coastline. Northern GA and southern VA coastal areas are currently within the three day cone of uncertainty. Check local NWS service for updates.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track Graphics, Satellite
Ophelia Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE U.S.
Myrtle Beach NWS Local Hurricane Statements
Wilmington NC NWS Local Hurricane Statements

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater WV Still Image
Morehead City Long Range Radar Loop
Wilmington NC Long Range Radar Loop
Charleston SC Long Range Radar Loop
Wakefield VA Radar
Morehead City Experimental Radar may experience delays or outages
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Ophelia Wind Field Graphic

Additional Resources:

Myrtle Beach Online
WECT-6 Wilmington News
WVEC-13 Hampton Roads/Norfolk
Hurricane City
Myrtle Beach Web Reports Surf & traffic cams

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[Howlin]

Just talked to my niece; she's had power flickering but nothing except winds and lots of rain.

Her only problem is that her dogs want to go outside and STAND in the storm!

[NautiNurse]

	

Wind speed 80 mph, moving NNE 7mph, pressure 980mb

...Ophelia moving closer to the North Carolina coast...
...New watches issued and warnings issued...

 
at 11 am EDT...1500z...the Hurricane Warning has been extended
northward to the North Carolina/Virginia border. A Hurricane Warning
is now in effect from Little River Inlet to the North
Carolina/Virginia border...including the Pamlico and Albemarle
sounds.

 
At 11 am EDT...a Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning are in
effect north of the North Carolina/Virginia border to Cape Charles
Light Virginia...including the Chesapeake Bay south of New Point
Comfort.

[Howlin]

Airlie Road closed; it's near the ICCW; trees down, water up.

[onyx]

Are you getting any rain?

[tiredoflaundry]

Prayers for all in Ophelia's path!

[fredhead]

You see the faces at the top of the page? How about the woman on the left? She looks like THE JOKER!!! Yecch!

[Howlin]

Wind gusts to 84 mph at Carolina Beach.

[Howlin]

Looks like the eye will "touch" Bald Head Island.

http://wwwa.accuweather.com/radar-local.asp?partner=accuweather&myadc=0&zipcode=&level=local&type=re&site=kilm

[NautiNurse]

I still can't get over the size of that eye.

[Howlin]

You'd be going slow, too, if you had to drag that eye everywhere you went. :-)

[SE Mom]

Yikes- what's going on with that eye? I don't recall seeing one that size. You'd think it would fall apart.

[Howlin]

I really like this link:

http://www.wxnation.com/wilmington/

It has everything all together!

[Howlin]

But she's very nice!

[Constitution Day]

Looks like the eye will "touch" Bald Head Island.

I guess if his house gets damaged, John Edwards will have to sue God.

[NautiNurse]

That's a lot of info! One thing I didn't see were the advisory updates. It may be there in the sea of links...

[Howlin]

He's up at Figure Eight; looks like they are getting hammered with the bands.

Unfortunately that means my friend is, too.

[ken5050]

It's almost Biden time!!! Yippee!!!

[Hatteras]

Latest update...

ZCZC MIATCUAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE OPHELIA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1145 AM EDT WED SEP 14 2005

DURING THE PAST HALF-HOUR...STEPPED-FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER
SURFACE WIND DATA FROM A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN HURRICANE OPHELIA HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR
85 MPH.

FORECASTER STEWART

$$
NNNN

[Howlin]

It's a good one; just click on Home to change the location!

[Howlin]

WRAL just showed a picture of the water rising at Oriental.