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Hurricane Ophelia Live Thread, Part II (Update: Ophelia expected to remain Cat 1 storm)
NHC - NOAA ^ | 10 Spetember 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/10/2005 2:31:49 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Ophelia continues to churn off the off the coast of the Carolinas with a track that has confounded computer models and meteorologists for days. Hurricane watches are issued for much of the SC and NC coastline. Northern GA and southern VA coastal areas are currently within the three day cone of uncertainty. Check local NWS service for updates.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track Graphics, Satellite
Ophelia Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE U.S.
Myrtle Beach NWS Local Hurricane Statements
Wilmington NC NWS Local Hurricane Statements

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater WV Still Image
Morehead City Long Range Radar Loop
Wilmington NC Long Range Radar Loop
Charleston SC Long Range Radar Loop
Wakefield VA Radar
Morehead City Experimental Radar may experience delays or outages
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Ophelia Wind Field Graphic

Additional Resources:

Myrtle Beach Online
WECT-6 Wilmington News
WVEC-13 Hampton Roads/Norfolk
Hurricane City
Myrtle Beach Web Reports Surf & traffic cams

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Announcements; News/Current Events; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneophelia; ophelia; tropical; weather
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To: dfwgator
This is the real reason Michael Brown was removed from Katrina.

You may be right. I've been put on hold for volunteer medical deployment to MS. Found out today local electric linemen have been put on hold too.

21 posted on 09/10/2005 2:45:13 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: alancarp

Gezzz I hope not. we don't need anymore of them right now.


22 posted on 09/10/2005 2:46:10 PM PDT by Nathan Zachary
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To: NautiNurse

The NHC has now put Wilmington NC in the crosshairs, but they're still just guessing! Of the leading computer models, two have landfall in South Carolina, two in North Carolina, and two in Virginia. NHC just splits the difference..


23 posted on 09/10/2005 2:50:51 PM PDT by AntiGuv (™)
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To: GummyIII

I had a huge old oak tree on the house


that's my greatest fear during bad weather - I have one, also - if it comes down, it goes right through the center of the house. :(


24 posted on 09/10/2005 2:52:46 PM PDT by presently no screen name
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To: GummyIII

I live in the Northern midwest. We had some good shear winds last sunday that tore out some good 200+ year old oaks ripped out by the roots. They don't like to call them tornadoes though. Shear winds seem to just come out of nowhere and just flatten everything in a 50 mile area and dissapear.


25 posted on 09/10/2005 2:53:15 PM PDT by Nathan Zachary
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To: AntiGuv

All of this loopiness and now it's hitting Wilmington and taking I-40 to Raleigh? If it stalls and strengthens it could be another Fran. Then again, the computer models contradict each other more than politicians chanting unity and disavowing the blame game. Could hit Egypt.


26 posted on 09/10/2005 2:56:02 PM PDT by kcar (theUNsucks.com)
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To: Nathan Zachary

tore out some good 200+ year old oaks ripped out by the roots.


Oh dear! Mine is a 200 year old oak.


27 posted on 09/10/2005 2:58:46 PM PDT by presently no screen name
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To: NautiNurse

Hi NN!
Can you add me to your ping list. Thank you!


28 posted on 09/10/2005 2:59:21 PM PDT by MoJo2001 (www.proudpatriots.org (Support Our Troops)...)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks much!


29 posted on 09/10/2005 2:59:36 PM PDT by DAVEY CROCKETT (Character exalts Liberty and Freedom, Righteous exalts a Nation.)
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To: MoJo2001

Absolutely!


30 posted on 09/10/2005 3:00:39 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: Nathan Zachary

I've been out there during those "shear winds". Humph...they are ugly! My family was camping in Kansas with another family on our way west when a "storm" hit. We lashed all the vehicles and campers together and rode it out. We were the only ones left the next morning. You could see portions of tents and camping paraphenalia strewn all over the place, but not another human or vehicle in sight.


31 posted on 09/10/2005 3:02:41 PM PDT by GummyIII (If you have the ability, it's your responsibility." Marine Sgt. John Place, Silver Star recipient)
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To: presently no screen name

YOu know, I was lucky when my oak came down. Another tree caught a lot of the force, so that when it hit the house, the damage was much less than what it would have been if that tree hadn't caught it. But the sound...oh, the sound. My girls were home riding out the storm because it was supposed to be safe here versus where they live. My feller was in the shower,in the bathroom right under where the tree hit.


32 posted on 09/10/2005 3:05:31 PM PDT by GummyIII (If you have the ability, it's your responsibility." Marine Sgt. John Place, Silver Star recipient)
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To: AntiGuv
Wilmington Local Statement as of 5:40 PM EDT on September 10, 2005

... Ophelia is forecast to turn toward the Carolinas on Sunday...

33 posted on 09/10/2005 3:11:48 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: GummyIII; NautiNurse; MoJo2001
Hey, Gabz and MoJo...batten down the hatches!

It figgers.....hubby started putting siding on the house today.....and won't be able to get back to doing much of it again until Friday...........sigh

34 posted on 09/10/2005 3:11:58 PM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: Gabz; GummyIII

If she moves up on the Hurricane category chart, MoJo and the boys will be left at home without The Sailor. The ships will have to move out.

If that's the case, MoJo is headed home to Ohio.


35 posted on 09/10/2005 3:13:46 PM PDT by MoJo2001 (www.proudpatriots.org (Support Our Troops)...)
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To: NautiNurse; GummyIII
......and the five day forecast includes a whole lot more of VA...

When they start mentioning DelMarVA or Maryland, then I know I'm in trouble.........

36 posted on 09/10/2005 3:17:33 PM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: GummyIII
They really can be amazing, and no warning at all. My neighbors to the north got it really bad, it flattened an 80 acre swath of pines, oaks, maple, and poplar trees they had on some forrest property they own. Quite amazing how these winds just swoop in and carve out an area like that, then just disappears. They say these shear winds can pack winds around 185 mph or more. There isn't really much study as to what causes them though.

But every though we get those odd "windigo's" (ghost winds) It's still better than living along the east coast in hurricane ally. Even though you get some warning, you know you have to fix or replace something, or loose it all maybe. May house would be made of good steel and cement anchored into a solid rock hill if I lived there, LoL!

37 posted on 09/10/2005 3:18:33 PM PDT by Nathan Zachary
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To: Gabz

Murphy's Law? Yikes!


38 posted on 09/10/2005 3:19:16 PM PDT by GummyIII (If you have the ability, it's your responsibility." Marine Sgt. John Place, Silver Star recipient)
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To: MoJo2001

Smart MoJo! Like always!


39 posted on 09/10/2005 3:19:44 PM PDT by GummyIII (If you have the ability, it's your responsibility." Marine Sgt. John Place, Silver Star recipient)
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To: AntiGuv

Shades of Isabel with this one. I'd very much like to avoid a repeat.


40 posted on 09/10/2005 3:20:13 PM PDT by brothers4thID (Do you stand with us, or are you going to just stand in the way?)
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