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Hurricane Ophelia Live Thread, Part II (Update: Ophelia expected to remain Cat 1 storm)
NHC - NOAA ^ | 10 Spetember 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/10/2005 2:31:49 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Ophelia continues to churn off the off the coast of the Carolinas with a track that has confounded computer models and meteorologists for days. Hurricane watches are issued for much of the SC and NC coastline. Northern GA and southern VA coastal areas are currently within the three day cone of uncertainty. Check local NWS service for updates.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track Graphics, Satellite
Ophelia Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE U.S.
Myrtle Beach NWS Local Hurricane Statements
Wilmington NC NWS Local Hurricane Statements

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater WV Still Image
Morehead City Long Range Radar Loop
Wilmington NC Long Range Radar Loop
Charleston SC Long Range Radar Loop
Wakefield VA Radar
Morehead City Experimental Radar may experience delays or outages
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Ophelia Wind Field Graphic

Additional Resources:

Myrtle Beach Online
WECT-6 Wilmington News
WVEC-13 Hampton Roads/Norfolk
Hurricane City
Myrtle Beach Web Reports Surf & traffic cams

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Announcements; News/Current Events; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneophelia; ophelia; tropical; weather
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To: Howlin

I saw where the Irish press finally changed California to Carolina.


201 posted on 09/11/2005 9:47:05 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: NautiNurse

Bump to track.
Thx,
mc


202 posted on 09/11/2005 9:49:24 AM PDT by mcshot (Boldly going nowhere with a smile and appreciation for life.)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the links. I'll hope the GFDL model is totally incorrect. Glued to the 'puter checking things, first time in a hurricane area. Earthquakes are easier to take, you never know they are coming and they're over before you know they happened, lol.


203 posted on 09/11/2005 9:55:25 AM PDT by Ruth C (learn to analyze rationally and extrapolate consequences ... you might become a conservative)
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To: ncpatriot
2004 storm tracks over NC


204 posted on 09/11/2005 9:55:44 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks NautiNurse!

Frances and esp Ivan hit us HARD in the mtns; the govenor (D) wanted to give all the money (FEMA?) to the eastern part of state. The west raised hell and so some was sent our way.


205 posted on 09/11/2005 10:24:38 AM PDT by ncpatriot
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To: Amelia; backhoe
The search committee has been formed, but they appear to be moving "with all deliberate speed" . . . i.e. you can't be in a hurry in the country!

I like Fr. Bob a lot, and his wife too. They're going to still be around to pitch in, once the new rector is hired.

They have a supply in there now, and he's great, so they may feel like there's not any hurry.

206 posted on 09/11/2005 10:34:52 AM PDT by AnAmericanMother (. . . Ministrix of ye Chace (recess appointment), TTGC Ladies' Auxiliary . . .)
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To: ncpatriot

No, I don't believe any hurricanes hit central NC last year - but I think it was Gaston who brought a lot of rain but no wind damage that I can remember - and then went through Richmond, VA leaving flood damage.


207 posted on 09/11/2005 10:39:06 AM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt
Thanks!

Did you see the map that NautiNurse did (above) on the 2004 Hurricanes in NC?

I never realized that NC got that many in one year.

208 posted on 09/11/2005 10:47:51 AM PDT by ncpatriot
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To: Howlin

I don't remember...don't they all eventually go thru Raleigh? ;-)


209 posted on 09/11/2005 10:49:16 AM PDT by Amelia (Common sense isn't particularly common.)
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To: ncpatriot

wow - yes - I didnt realize so many came through NC last year - but only Gaston came through my neck of the woods. I remember the flood it made in Richmond more than what it did here in NC. The worst flood damage in NC was in the Mountains last year.


210 posted on 09/11/2005 10:50:45 AM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt
The worst flood damage in NC was in the Mountains last year.

I know, I live in mtns and we got it bad.

But I have never seen anything like Katrina.

I remember Hazel that went through Wake County. That was the first hurricane I remember. Probably before your time.

211 posted on 09/11/2005 10:54:44 AM PDT by ncpatriot
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To: wimpycat
"Sitting helplessly in your own home listening to the wind and your house make noises you never knew it could make and calculating the relative height of the trees in your backyard vs. their distance from your house gives me the heebie-jeebies."

Amen. And hearing the loud crashes or thuds when trees around your house start falling! Had a pine fall in Fran that missed the house but hit the driveway. Had another pine fall in Floyd that did the same exact thing. The pines that are left (some in neighbor yards) won't miss next time......

212 posted on 09/11/2005 10:58:16 AM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
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To: Amelia

They will pay for the contents.. only they are questioning whether we actually had what we are claiming. Now with everything cleaned up and thrown at the landfill, we have no hard proof. Just pictures. They want receipts.

After a year I'm ready to just tell them keep it and just get on with things.

You should be fine. These horror stories only happen ever so often. We just happen to be on the receiving end of one.

Thx for your well wishes.


213 posted on 09/11/2005 11:14:50 AM PDT by Praxeus
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To: ncpatriot

Actually - I remember Hazel in Wake County. I was here. My grandmother had huge pecan trees in her back yard that came down. I remember not having power and eating some kind of wierd (cold) food during the time right after Hazel. So, yes, I am an old bird.


214 posted on 09/11/2005 11:21:57 AM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt
I hate to keep hijacking this thread for NC hurricanes, but thread is not that busy right now.

Although I live in mtns now, I still have friends in Wake County, and they told me that Fran was a real mess in Raleigh: had to open a dump site just for all debris.

215 posted on 09/11/2005 11:29:22 AM PDT by ncpatriot
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To: ncpatriot

Not mine. :-)

http://www.lib.unc.edu/ncc/ref/nchistory/oct2004/pics.html


216 posted on 09/11/2005 12:26:17 PM PDT by Howlin (Have you check in on this thread: FYI: Hurricane Katrina Freeper SIGN IN Thread)
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To: Howlin; NautiNurse

12z suite says Northeast should still watch this storm. Could be a rare hurricane for that part of the country. Most likely at this time would be Long Island and Cape Cod, but could be windy/rainy throughout the coastal big cities.


217 posted on 09/11/2005 1:02:19 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt; ncpatriot; Gabz

Gaston did major damage in Richmond, Many of the shops in the Shockoe Bottom area are just now reopening.

They predicted about 2 inches of rain. We got 11 in 8 hours.

There wasn't time to close the floodwall and it wouldn't have helped anyway. The drainage system in the Bottom was overwhelmed.


218 posted on 09/11/2005 2:09:46 PM PDT by Corin Stormhands (Join the Hobbit Hole Troop Support - http://freeper.the-hobbit-hole.net/)
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To: Corin Stormhands

I was totally shocked by what I read about what Gaston did to Richmond. I have friends in Hampton still dealing with the afetrmath of Isabel, so can understand things not being back to normal in Shockoe Bottom.

And here I sit on this finger of land between the Atlantic and Chesapeake and have gotten through all of them basically unscathed.........go figger.


219 posted on 09/11/2005 2:17:00 PM PDT by Gabz ((Chincoteague, VA) USSG Warning: portable sewing machines cause broken ankles)
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To: nwctwx

Thanks for the update - much appreciated.


220 posted on 09/11/2005 2:18:58 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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