Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[rang1995]

well it's still to early--i would get worried if on track with 24 hours and no shear..but good luck to all

[mewzilla]

They'll open up schools, arenas, even the Superdome for those who can't leave and hope for the best.

Sigh. For once folks might actually want to sit in the nosebleed section.

[Types_with_Fist]

Where's Geraldo? We need him in New Orleans for this one (semi-serious).

[janetjanet998]

new GFDL...HAS THE WORST CASE SCENARIO YET!!!165 MPH into L. Ponchatrane!!!! Look at the frame just before landfall 916mb!!

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/GFDL_12z/ghmloop.html

[Revel]

My guess is that the federal government is involved behind the scenes in deciding if they should evac NO. People have pointed out all the oil refineries and riggs in this area. Well even if the hurricane misses NO...The evac is going to cause economic damage to the whole country and not just NO. People are not going to be too happy when Gas goes over $3.00 a gallon. This is also a very bad time considering that the refineries are now in the mode for making heating oil. The cost of heating oil is becoming so high that I am afraid some people are literally going to freeze this winter. Imagine $700 just to fill a 275 Gallon tank. This storm could make it much worse. So I am sure that feds have a very keen interest in this are in constant communication with NO.

[Blennos]

No, I have only been here for 4 years. That bridge scares me to death! Not a safe feeling when you can't see any land!

I hate all bridges, especially the tall ones and avoid them whenever I can. There is a fairly common condition called "gephyrophobia" (inordinate fear of bridges) which I may actually have. Whenever I cross a bridge, I get a very anxious feeling. Nothing to do with the hurricane.

[rwfromkansas]

holy crap.

My understanding is tha the GFDL is essentially the gold standard in tropical models. Is this correct?

[shield]

OMG....

[mewzilla]

Mayor of NO now on FNC.

[Palladin]

The survivor stories are amazing. 30 foot waves, whole buildings floating away, thousands of water moccasins, wild cows, clinging to loved ones who have already drowned...quite a tragedy.

[rwfromkansas]

rigs are already shut down......gas will go up as it is even with a miss.

I don't think the feds are involved.

[mewzilla]

Mayor: Begin to plan an exit strategy.

Me: Begin?

[Types_with_Fist]

I heard stories about people fighting the snakes for tree space during Audrey. Horrid storm.

[janetjanet998]

yes that is correct..its the best model they have..in fact it was the only one to forecast that south move near miami

[SE Mom]

PMG...The governor just said in reference to driving out of town.."Please practice extreme courtesy"..........

She is UNBELIEVABLE.

[mewzilla]

You're right. That was the gov, NOT the mayor. And boy did it sound like she was offering a mixed message to me. Ifs, maybes. Yeah, that's really going to encourage folks to just get the heck outta Dodge. Sheesh!

[nwctwx]

GFDL is usually very good.

[dennis1x]

the latest gfdl run has a cat 5 hitting south of new orleans, and still at 926mb at lake ponchatrain.

model guidance has come back west again....

48 hours out and if the models are correct and this somehow plays out it will be quite a story.

[janetjanet998]

12z EURO just in..also has a direct NO hit

[Revel]

"I don't think the feds are involved."


Well if they are or they aren't.... We are going to be suffering from this on a nation wide scale.