The outer raindbands are just making their way onshore, the eye is still SE of Cozumel. Looks to me like the center will come in just south of, or over, the island. Then it should head up just NE of Tizimin on the radar by morning, before exiting back into the water.
Last few frames seem to indicate that she is finally deciding to regain some oomph, just before landfall. :<
looks like she is completing an eye wall replacemnt...looks better on last few shots
759 URNT12 KNHC 172327 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 17/22:58:00Z B. 19 deg 25 min N 085 deg 34 min W C. 700 mb 2691 m D. 100 kt E. 87 deg 007 nm F. 185 deg 109 kt G. 102 deg 010 nm H. 951 mb I. 8 C/ 3051 m J. 18 C/ 3041 m K. 13 C/ NA L. OPEN SE M. C10 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 2 nm P. AF302 1405A EMILY OB 08 MAX FL WIND 109 KT E QUAD 22:55:10 Z |