Posted on 07/16/2005 1:33:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricanes Emily and Dennis are the strongest July storms in recorded history for the Atlantic hurricane basin...
Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:
NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, 5P, etc. ET.
NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET
Storm Floater IR Loop Little boxes at top of image: lat/lon, and Trop Fcst Pts--click 'em.
Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)
Storm Floater Sat Both loop and latest image
Jamaica Weather Has a few still radar images
Cancun Radar Very Slow Load
Another Cancun Radar another Very Slow Load
Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the NHC 3 day and 5 day historic track positions
Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world (Broadband)
Water Vapor SatelliteAnother colorful loop for broadband
Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure |
Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 (weak) |
75 - 95 mph 65 - 82 kts 33 - 42 m/s |
> 28.94 in. Hg > 980.0 mb > 97.7 kPa |
4.0 - 5.0 ft. 1.2 - 1.5 m |
minimal damage to vegetation |
2 (moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts 43 - 49 m/s |
28.50 - 28.93 in. Hg 965.1 - 979.7 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
6.0 - 8.0 ft. 1.8 - 2.4 m |
moderate damage to houses |
3 (strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 113 kts 50 - 58 m/s |
27.91 - 28.49 in. Hg 945.1 - 964.8 mb 96.2 - 97.7 kPa |
9.0 - 12.0 ft. 2.7 - 3.7 m |
extensive damage to small buildings |
4 (very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 114 - 135 kts 59 - 69 m/s |
27.17 - 27.90 in. Hg 920.1 - 944.8 mb 91.7 - 94.2 kPa |
13.0 - 18.0 ft. 3.9 - 5.5 m |
extreme structural damage |
5 (devastating) |
> 155 mph > 135 kts > 70 m/s |
< 27.17 in Hg < 920.1 mb < 91.7 kPa |
> 18.0 ft > 5.5 m |
catastrophic building failures possible |
You too guys. Sorry I'm a little tired.
759 URNT12 KNHC 172327 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 17/22:58:00Z B. 19 deg 25 min N 085 deg 34 min W C. 700 mb 2691 m D. 100 kt E. 87 deg 007 nm F. 185 deg 109 kt G. 102 deg 010 nm H. 951 mb I. 8 C/ 3051 m J. 18 C/ 3041 m K. 13 C/ NA L. OPEN SE M. C10 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 2 nm P. AF302 1405A EMILY OB 08 MAX FL WIND 109 KT E QUAD 22:55:10 Z |
...Hurricane Emily bearing down on the Yucatan Peninsula...
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Yucatan Peninsula from Chetumal northward to Cabo Catoche...then westward and southward to Campeche...including Cozumel and the islas mujeres. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the coast of Belize from Belize City northward to the Belize-Mexico border. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.
Tropical storm conditions are also possible over portions of extreme western Cuba.
Interests in the southern and western Gulf of Mexico...as well as in southern Texas...should monitor the progress of Emily.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Emily was located near latitude 19.6 north...longitude 85.9 west or about 90 miles... 145 km...southeast of Cozumel Mexico and about 270 miles... 440 km...east-southeast of Progreso Mexico.
Emily is moving toward the west-northwest near 20 mph...32 km/hr... and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of Emily is expected to reach the northeastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula late tonight or early Monday morning...and move across the northern Yucatan Peninsula during the day on Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...215 km/hr...with higher gusts. Emily is a category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Fluctuations in intensity are common in major hurricanes... but little overall change in strength is expected before Emily makes landfall. Weakening will occur as the center of Emily crosses the Yucatan Peninsula.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles... 95 km... from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 150 miles...240 km. NOAA buoy 42056 recently reported sustained winds of 73 mph with a gust to 85 mph.
An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 951 mb...28.08 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 8 to 12 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in Mexico.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 8 inches are possible over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula with isolated maximum amounts up to 12 inches. Lesser amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible over western Cuba.
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...19.6 N... 85.9 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 20 mph. Maximum sustained winds...135 mph. Minimum central pressure... 951 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 11 PM EDT.
Forecaster Pasch
135 mph Cat 4. I didnt know a cat 4 could have such a disorganized eye.
Its going to be a long night for those near the tip of the Yucatan.
How many miles is each degree? I read it somewhere but can't find it now, something like 67 miles? Is that correct? So from longitude 85 to longitude 86 is??? Is the distance the same with latitude?
If someone could point me to a link that talks about that, I'd appreciate it!
She's pulling it together again in the last couple of frames.
Looking at this, each 5 degrees or square is about 300 miles.
So about 60 miles for each degree, eyeballed. .-)
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/220959.shtml?3day?large
This is a guess.
That's a great site NN:)
Just catching up on the day's news..been out of the loop all day- where is Miss Emily going to hit?
Miss Emily has her sights on Cozumel right now.
Just watching.
Tikes...that's a big storm for a small piece of land..
Thanks!
I was in Cozumel a few months ago and glad I'm not there tonight! Looks like much damage will occur as the homes are built to different standards and looking like a direct hit with the storm surge. Not sure what will hold up to this force. God Bless
You're right. Her eye is visible again. A bit ragged but it's there.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200505_strike.html
There is just something spooky about plywood on the windows:')
May God protect the people there. It could be us.
Yeah. Praying for them.
You think that is spooky, look what I discovered.
They're not going to get much sleep.
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