Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Hurricane Emily (Live Thread, Part II)
NHC-NOAA ^ | 16 July 2005 | NHC

Posted on 07/16/2005 1:33:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricanes Emily and Dennis are the strongest July storms in recorded history for the Atlantic hurricane basin...

Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:

NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, 5P, etc. ET.

NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET

Storm Floater IR Loop Little boxes at top of image: lat/lon, and Trop Fcst Pts--click 'em.

Caribbean IR Loop

Caribbean Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)

Storm Floater Sat Both loop and latest image

Western Caribbean Bouy Data

Jamaica Weather Has a few still radar images

Grand Cayman Weather

Cozumel Weather

Cancun Weather

Cancun Radar Very Slow Load

Another Cancun Radar another Very Slow Load

Hurricane Track Forecast

Hurricane Model Projections

Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the NHC 3 day and 5 day historic track positions



Some more resources:

Hurricane City

Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world (Broadband)

Water Vapor SatelliteAnother colorful loop for broadband

Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info

Another colorful IR Satellite loop


The Saffir-Simpson Scale. Source: Hurricane Categories
Category Wind Speed Barometric
Pressure
Storm Surge Damage Potential
1
(weak)
75 - 95 mph
65 - 82 kts
33 - 42 m/s
> 28.94 in. Hg
> 980.0 mb
> 97.7 kPa
4.0 - 5.0 ft.
1.2 - 1.5 m
minimal damage to vegetation
2
(moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
43 - 49 m/s
28.50 - 28.93 in. Hg
965.1 - 979.7 mb
96.2 - 97.7 kPa
6.0 - 8.0 ft.
1.8 - 2.4 m
moderate damage to houses
3
(strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 113 kts
50 - 58 m/s
27.91 - 28.49 in. Hg
945.1 - 964.8 mb
96.2 - 97.7 kPa
9.0 - 12.0 ft.
2.7 - 3.7 m
extensive damage to small buildings
4
(very strong)
131 - 155 mph
114 - 135 kts
59 - 69 m/s
27.17 - 27.90 in. Hg
920.1 - 944.8 mb
91.7 - 94.2 kPa
13.0 - 18.0 ft.
3.9 - 5.5 m
extreme structural damage
5
(devastating)
> 155 mph
> 135 kts
> 70 m/s
< 27.17 in Hg
< 920.1 mb
< 91.7 kPa
> 18.0 ft
> 5.5 m
catastrophic building failures possible


Hurricane Emily Live Thread, Part I


TOPICS: Mexico; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: emily; hurricane; hurricaneemily; tropical; weather
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 401-420421-440441-460 ... 581-595 next last
To: shield; SouthTexas

You too guys. Sorry I'm a little tired.


421 posted on 07/17/2005 4:33:35 PM PDT by Pebcak
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 420 | View Replies]

To: nwctwx


759 
URNT12 KNHC 172327
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 17/22:58:00Z
B. 19 deg 25 min N
  085 deg 34 min W
C. 700 mb 2691 m
D. 100 kt
E.  87 deg 007 nm
F. 185 deg 109 kt
G. 102 deg 010 nm
H.         951 mb
I.  8  C/ 3051 m
J.  18 C/ 3041 m
K.  13 C/ NA
L. OPEN SE
M. C10
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2  nm
P. AF302 1405A EMILY        OB 08
MAX FL WIND 109 KT E QUAD 22:55:10 Z

422 posted on 07/17/2005 4:35:48 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 409 | View Replies]

To: All
Hurricane Emily Intermediate Advisory Number 28a

Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on July 17, 2005

 
...Hurricane Emily bearing down on the Yucatan Peninsula...

 
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Yucatan Peninsula from
Chetumal northward to Cabo Catoche...then westward and southward to
Campeche...including Cozumel and the islas mujeres.  A Hurricane
Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the
warning area within the next 24 hours.  Preparations to protect
life and property should be rushed to completion.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the coast of Belize from
Belize City northward to the Belize-Mexico border. A Tropical Storm
Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within
the warning area within the next 24 hours.

 
Tropical storm conditions are also possible over portions of extreme
western Cuba.

 
Interests in the southern and western Gulf of Mexico...as well as in
southern Texas...should monitor the progress of Emily.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Emily was located near
latitude 19.6 north...longitude  85.9 west or about  90 miles...
145 km...southeast of Cozumel Mexico and about  270 miles... 440
km...east-southeast of Progreso Mexico.

 
Emily is moving toward the west-northwest near 20 mph...32 km/hr...
and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.  On
the forecast track...the center of Emily is expected to reach the
northeastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula late tonight or early
Monday morning...and move across the northern Yucatan Peninsula
during the day on Monday.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...215 km/hr...with higher
gusts.  Emily is a category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale.  Fluctuations in intensity are common in major hurricanes...
but little overall change in strength is expected before Emily
makes landfall.  Weakening will occur as the center of Emily
crosses the Yucatan Peninsula.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  60 miles... 95 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 150 miles...240 km.  NOAA buoy 42056 recently reported sustained
winds of 73 mph with a gust to 85 mph.

 
An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum
central pressure of  951 mb...28.08 inches.

 
Coastal storm surge flooding of 8 to 12 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be
expected near and to the north of where the center makes landfall
in Mexico.  

Rainfall totals of 5 to 8 inches are possible over portions of the
Yucatan Peninsula with isolated maximum amounts up to 12 inches.
Lesser amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible over western Cuba.

 

Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...19.6 N... 85.9 W.  Movement
toward...west-northwest near 20 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds...135 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 951 mb.

 
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
11 PM EDT.

 
Forecaster Pasch

423 posted on 07/17/2005 4:45:21 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 422 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

135 mph Cat 4. I didnt know a cat 4 could have such a disorganized eye.

Its going to be a long night for those near the tip of the Yucatan.


424 posted on 07/17/2005 4:48:44 PM PDT by No Blue States
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 423 | View Replies]

How many miles is each degree? I read it somewhere but can't find it now, something like 67 miles? Is that correct? So from longitude 85 to longitude 86 is??? Is the distance the same with latitude?

If someone could point me to a link that talks about that, I'd appreciate it!


425 posted on 07/17/2005 4:57:49 PM PDT by Miztiki (Pearland, TX (just southeast of Houston))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 424 | View Replies]

To: No Blue States

She's pulling it together again in the last couple of frames.


426 posted on 07/17/2005 5:04:28 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 424 | View Replies]

To: Miztiki

Looking at this, each 5 degrees or square is about 300 miles.

So about 60 miles for each degree, eyeballed. .-)

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/220959.shtml?3day?large

This is a guess.


427 posted on 07/17/2005 5:05:14 PM PDT by No Blue States
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 425 | View Replies]

To: Miztiki
Latitude & Longitude
428 posted on 07/17/2005 5:05:25 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 425 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

That's a great site NN:)

Just catching up on the day's news..been out of the loop all day- where is Miss Emily going to hit?


429 posted on 07/17/2005 5:06:49 PM PDT by SE Mom (God Bless those who serve)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 428 | View Replies]

To: SE Mom

Miss Emily has her sights on Cozumel right now.


430 posted on 07/17/2005 5:08:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 429 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

Just watching.


431 posted on 07/17/2005 5:09:09 PM PDT by blam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 428 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

Tikes...that's a big storm for a small piece of land..
Thanks!


432 posted on 07/17/2005 5:09:45 PM PDT by SE Mom (God Bless those who serve)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 430 | View Replies]

To: No Blue States

I was in Cozumel a few months ago and glad I'm not there tonight! Looks like much damage will occur as the homes are built to different standards and looking like a direct hit with the storm surge. Not sure what will hold up to this force. God Bless


433 posted on 07/17/2005 5:13:19 PM PDT by G3
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 424 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

You're right. Her eye is visible again. A bit ragged but it's there.


434 posted on 07/17/2005 5:14:17 PM PDT by dc-zoo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 430 | View Replies]

To: No Blue States
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200505_5day.html

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200505_strike.html

435 posted on 07/17/2005 5:14:43 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 427 | View Replies]

To: dc-zoo

There is just something spooky about plywood on the windows:')


436 posted on 07/17/2005 5:26:54 PM PDT by CindyDawg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 434 | View Replies]

To: G3

May God protect the people there. It could be us.


437 posted on 07/17/2005 5:27:00 PM PDT by No Blue States
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 433 | View Replies]

To: No Blue States

Yeah. Praying for them.


438 posted on 07/17/2005 5:27:34 PM PDT by CindyDawg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 437 | View Replies]

To: CindyDawg
There is just something spooky about plywood on the windows:')

You think that is spooky, look what I discovered.

Image hosted by Photobucket.com

439 posted on 07/17/2005 5:30:37 PM PDT by No Blue States
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 436 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse
Not all the tourists could get out. About 25,000 remain in Cancun, 9,000 along the Mayan sun coast, and about 3,000 in Cozumel tonight.

They're not going to get much sleep.

440 posted on 07/17/2005 5:31:15 PM PDT by Dog Gone
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 430 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 401-420421-440441-460 ... 581-595 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson